Thu, Apr 5, 2012·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 6, Los Angeles Kings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 18 | 110 | 38 | 05 | 1 | 631 |
| LAK | 118 | 211 | 26 | 01 | 0 | 536 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:45LAKAlec MartinezPPAssists: Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 16:27SJSJason DemersAssists: Daniel Winnik, Dominic Moore · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 8:54LAKJarret StollPPAssists: Dwight King, Willie Mitchell · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–2
- P2 13:19LAKDustin BrownAssists: Anze Kopitar, Willie Mitchell · Snap, 0.07 xG1–3
- P2 19:32SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Dan Boyle, Logan Couture · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 1:10SJSRyane CloweUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
- P3 3:54LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Alec Martinez, Willie Mitchell · Slap, 0.03 xG3–4
- P3 4:55SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–4
- P3 12:37SJSMartin HavlatPPAssists: Ryane Clowe, Patrick Marleau · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–4
- P3 16:29LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Mike Richards, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.30 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. LAK Mike Richards stopped
- 2. SJS Ryane Clowe stopped
- 3. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 4. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
Penalties (21)
- P1 7:04LAKColin Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:04SJSTommy Wingels: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 7:18LAKDrew Doughty: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:18SJSJoe Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:18SJSJoe Thornton: Cross checking2 min
- P1 9:48LAKMatt Greene: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:48SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:48SJSRyane Clowe: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:06LAKKyle Clifford: Boarding5 min
- P2 4:53LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:21SJSDaniel Winnik: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:34SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:34LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:30LAKJonathan Quick: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 3:41SJSJoe Pavelski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:32LAKRob Scuderi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 7:28SJSDaniel Winnik: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:24LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 15:16SJSTJ Galiardi: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P3 15:58SJSPatrick Marleau: Tripping2 min
- OT 3:46LAKDustin Brown: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Havlat – Clowe – Couture8:04
xG 0.11–0.08 (59%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
- Moore – Winnik – Galiardi3:31
xG 0.09–0.08 (51%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Winnik – Desjardins – Wingels3:27
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Thornton – Marleau – Pavelski7:29
xG 0.26–0.58 (31%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Demers7:13
xG 0.34–0.24 (59%)attempts 7–10goals 2–0
- Braun – Demers2:02
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Burns – Vlasic2:02
xG 0.09–0.11 (45%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Penner – Lewis7:51
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Richardson – Kopitar9:04
xG 0.34–0.11 (75%)attempts 11–4goals 1–1
- Fraser – Clifford – Nolan6:42
xG 0.14–0.02 (88%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Williams – Richards – King7:48
xG 0.27–0.55 (33%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Voynov11:01
xG 0.27–0.15 (64%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Scuderi – Doughty14:10
xG 0.61–0.51 (55%)attempts 17–12goals 0–1
- Greene – Martinez9:58
xG 0.18–0.11 (63%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).