Sat, Jan 19, 2013·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 5, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 39 | 15 | 18 | 522 |
| LAK | 08 | 16 | 17 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:41CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 12:57CHIMarian HossaAssists: Daniel Carcillo, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P1 14:11CHIMichael FrolikGWGAssists: Marcus Kruger, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 1:16CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.30 xG4–0
- P2 18:37LAKRob ScuderiAssists: Colin Fraser, Kyle Clifford · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–1
- P3 9:20LAKJordan NolanAssists: Matt Greene, Kyle Clifford · Tip-in, 0.24 xG4–2
- P3 9:35CHIMarian HossaAssists: Jonathan Toews · Snap, 0.05 xG5–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:49LAKMatt Greene: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 2:32LAKTrevor Lewis: Cross checking2 min
- P1 5:51CHIMarian Hossa: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:53CHIAndrew Shaw: Holding2 min
- P2 4:15LAKDavis Drewiske: Interference2 min
- P2 7:52CHIPatrick Sharp: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:57CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:17LAKMatt Greene: Interference2 min
- P3 10:44LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P3 19:24CHIMarcus Kruger: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Carcillo – Toews8:38
xG 0.25–0.08 (75%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw7:24
xG 0.18–0.04 (82%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Frolik – Kruger – Bollig4:04
xG 0.13–0.01 (92%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane9:42
xG 0.10–0.39 (21%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook13:43
xG 0.62–0.26 (70%)attempts 8–12goals 2–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson14:49
xG 0.20–0.34 (37%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Brookbank – Leddy9:55
xG 0.22–0.62 (26%)attempts 5–8goals 1–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Carter – Penner8:55
xG 0.41–0.02 (94%)attempts 11–2goals 0–1
- Stoll – Lewis – King8:24
xG 0.30–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Fraser – Clifford – Nolan7:12
xG 0.37–0.25 (59%)attempts 3–7goals 2–0
- Gagne – Brown – Richards11:08
xG 0.17–0.71 (19%)attempts 8–11goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez6:36
xG 0.39–0.12 (76%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Doughty15:57
xG 0.37–0.24 (60%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Drewiske – Voynov5:29
xG 0.00–0.01 (18%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).