Mon, Jan 21, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Detroit Red Wings 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 013 | 212 | 113 | 04 | 1 | 442 |
| CBJ | 05 | 114 | 212 | 02 | 0 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:10DETBrian LashoffAssists: Mikael Samuelsson, Niklas Kronwall · Slap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 14:06DETIan WhiteAssists: Johan Franzen, Pavel Datsyuk · Snap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 15:20CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Ryan Johansen, Derek Dorsett · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 3:24CBJJames WisniewskiPPAssists: Derick Brassard, R.J. Umberger · Slap, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 8:43CBJVinny ProspalPPAssists: Nikita Nikitin, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–3
- P3 13:56DETPavel DatsyukAssists: Niklas Kronwall, Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. DET Pavel Datsyuk stopped
- 3. CBJ Artem Anisimov stopped
- 4. DET Valtteri Filppula stopped
- 5. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 6. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
- 7. CBJ Matt Calvert stopped
- 8. DET Damien Brunner scored
Penalties (20)
- P1 0:03DETJordin Tootoo: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:03CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:29CBJDerek MacKenzie: Boarding2 min
- P1 5:57CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:57CBJNick Foligno: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 16:41DETDamien Brunner: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:46CBJMatt Calvert: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 9:54CBJDerek Dorsett: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:54DETNiklas Kronwall: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:55DETKyle Quincey: Holding2 min
- P2 13:03CBJRyan Johansen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 13:07DETDaniel Cleary: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 2:39DETBrendan Smith: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:38DETHenrik Zetterberg: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:47DETKyle Quincey: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 8:57CBJArtem Anisimov: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:08DETDaniel Cleary: Boarding2 min
- P3 11:56CBJRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:44DETJohan Franzen: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:44CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Abdelkader
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestDatsyuk – Zetterberg – Brunner8:56
xG 0.59–0.28 (68%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Filppula – Franzen5:14
xG 0.26–0.02 (93%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Tootoo – Eaves – Emmerton4:48
xG 0.15–0.08 (66%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Cleary – Miller – Abdelkader4:08
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestColaiacovo – White9:04
xG 0.58–0.12 (83%)attempts 16–2goals 0–0
- Quincey – Smith9:26
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Kronwall – Lashoff10:07
xG 0.10–0.23 (31%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Umberger – Foligno – Brassard2:28
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Calvert4:21
xG 0.08–0.15 (35%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Prospal – Foligno – Johansen5:12
xG 0.05–0.13 (27%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Umberger – Brassard – Atkinson5:31
xG 0.02–0.19 (10%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Wisniewski – Johnson15:28
xG 0.57–0.57 (50%)attempts 13–18goals 1–0
- Aucoin – Moore6:55
xG 0.10–0.18 (36%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Nikitin11:35
xG 0.04–0.51 (8%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).