Wed, Jan 23, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Phoenix Coyotes 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 06 | 17 | 013 | 126 |
| PHX | 010 | 216 | 316 | 542 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:30CBJFedor TyutinAssists: Derick Brassard, Derek Dorsett · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 7:27PHXSteve SullivanAssists: Antoine Vermette, Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–1
- P2 15:22PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonGWGAssists: Matthew Lombardi, Mikkel Boedker · Slap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 4:21PHXSteve SullivanPPAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 10:01PHXSteve SullivanAssists: Derek Morris, Antoine Vermette · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–4
- P3 15:02PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: David Moss, Boyd Gordon · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:04PHXSteve Sullivan: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:57CBJR.J. Umberger: Holding2 min
- P2 19:57CBJVinny Prospal: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 3:20CBJDerick Brassard: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 3:20CBJDerek Dorsett: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:42PHXMikkel Boedker: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 11:38CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:38PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:39CBJJack Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:50PHXDavid Schlemko: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Gordon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Anisimov – Atkinson6:47
xG 0.54–0.09 (86%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Umberger – Dorsett – Brassard7:43
xG 0.17–0.21 (45%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Boll – Letestu – Calvert4:54
xG 0.00–0.10 (2%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Umberger – Dorsett – Letestu2:09
xG 0.05–0.21 (18%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Moore13:20
xG 0.74–0.27 (73%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Wisniewski – Johnson16:44
xG 0.37–0.86 (30%)attempts 18–24goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Nikitin12:32
xG 0.13–0.72 (15%)attempts 5–19goals 1–2
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestSullivan – Doan – Vermette7:58
xG 0.58–0.03 (94%)attempts 13–2goals 2–1
- Bissonnette – Bolduc – Chipchura7:54
xG 0.26–0.07 (78%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Moss – Gordon – Korpikoski10:07
xG 0.26–0.30 (47%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Vrbata – Lombardi – Boedker10:33
xG 0.53–0.62 (46%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Ekman-Larsson13:20
xG 0.95–0.33 (75%)attempts 20–7goals 3–0
- Schlemko – Stone12:07
xG 0.28–0.16 (64%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
- Morris – Yandle12:35
xG 0.44–0.37 (54%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).