Sat, Jan 26, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 18 | 18 | 18 | 324 |
| CBJ | 19 | 09 | 18 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:35CBJMark LetestuAssists: Nick Foligno, Derek Dorsett · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 17:54CHIDave BollandAssists: Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 8:50CHIBryan BickellAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Michael Frolik · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 6:35CHIJonathan ToewsGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
- P3 17:41CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Johansen · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–2
Penalties (13)
- P1 5:28CHISheldon Brookbank: Holding2 min
- P1 15:07CBJJack Johnson: Boarding2 min
- P1 15:07CHIDave Bolland: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:58CBJMark Letestu: Interference2 min
- P2 11:56CHIJamal Mayers: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 11:56CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:56CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:50CBJArtem Anisimov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:01CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:52CHIDave Bolland: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 10:52CHIDave Bolland: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 11:36CBJDerick Brassard: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:04CBJDerek Dorsett: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad8:36
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Mayers – Frolik – Kruger4:05
xG 0.22–0.07 (76%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane10:32
xG 0.35–0.27 (57%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw8:19
xG 0.06–0.10 (37%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson14:59
xG 0.78–0.13 (86%)attempts 14–6goals 2–0
- Keith – Seabrook13:27
xG 0.06–0.09 (39%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Leddy8:28
xG 0.10–0.34 (22%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Dorsett – Brassard8:22
xG 0.19–0.02 (90%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov8:00
xG 0.07–0.15 (31%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Letestu4:07
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Prospal – Calvert – Johansen7:49
xG 0.03–0.54 (5%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Wisniewski – Johnson15:56
xG 0.23–0.40 (36%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Moore9:53
xG 0.20–0.44 (31%)attempts 4–5goals 0–2
- Tyutin – Nikitin13:11
xG 0.10–0.36 (21%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).