Sat, Jan 26, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 4, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 315 | 17 | 431 |
| PHX | 09 | 114 | 110 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:04LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 3:57PHXMikkel BoedkerPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.47 xG1–1
- P2 5:08LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Justin Williams, Jake Muzzin · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–1
- P2 11:33LAKJeff CarterGWGAssists: Simon Gagne · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–1
- P3 0:22PHXShane DoanAssists: Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 8:35LAKJake MuzzinAssists: Kyle Clifford, Davis Drewiske · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:43LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:04PHXKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:04PHXDerek Morris: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 17:45LAKDwight King: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 2:07LAKJake Muzzin: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 2:07LAKColin Fraser: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 8:09PHXShane Doan: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:51LAKMike Richards: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:10LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:10PHXKyle Chipchura: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:00PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:05LAKJustin Williams: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:25PHXShane Doan: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:25LAKMike Richards: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Stoll – Lewis – King9:12
xG 0.24–0.29 (45%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar10:59
xG 0.38–0.43 (47%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Carter – Richards – Clifford7:13
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Gagne – Fraser – Nolan5:35
xG 0.09–0.28 (24%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Drewiske7:30
xG 0.64–0.05 (93%)attempts 12–3goals 3–0
- Martinez – Voynov13:34
xG 0.36–0.24 (60%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Hanzal – Boedker12:10
xG 0.60–0.33 (65%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Sullivan – Doan – Vermette4:45
xG 0.24–0.09 (72%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Sullivan – Vermette – Moss4:05
xG 0.17–0.06 (76%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Bolduc – Chipchura – Johnson3:09
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle15:24
xG 0.54–0.40 (57%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson4:39
xG 0.08–0.07 (53%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Michalek – Schlemko2:56
xG 0.07–0.10 (42%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).