Tue, Jan 29, 2013·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 09 | 17 | 08 | 02 | 1 | 126 |
| BOS | 09 | 05 | 113 | 01 | 2 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:30NJDDavid ClarksonPPAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Patrik Elias · Tip-in, 0.23 xG1–0
- P3 15:55BOSNathan HortonAssists: David Krejci, Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Tyler Seguin scored
- 2. NJD Ilya Kovalchuk scored
- 3. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 4. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
- 5. BOS Nathan Horton stopped
- 6. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
- 7. BOS David Krejci stopped
- 8. NJD David Clarkson stopped
- 9. BOS Chris Bourque stopped
- 10. NJD Jacob Josefson stopped
- 11. BOS Brad Marchand scored
- 12. NJD Marek Zidlicky stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:39BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:39NJDKrys Barch: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:19BOSAndrew Ference: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:49NJDAnton Volchenkov: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:22BOSJohnny Boychuk: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 9:15NJDMark Fayne: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:53BOSDaniel Paille: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 14:55BOSNathan Horton: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:32BOSDavid Krejci: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 11:45NJDDainius Zubrus: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gionta won the faceoff against Kelly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestElias – Zubrus – Clarkson9:34
xG 0.82–0.21 (80%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Barch – Anderson – Josefson2:25
xG 0.44–0.12 (78%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter9:37
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Kovalchuk – Zajac – Matteau8:02
xG 0.06–0.43 (13%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalvador – Volchenkov14:10
xG 1.29–0.86 (60%)attempts 12–18goals 0–0
- Fayne – Greene14:34
xG 0.48–0.21 (70%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Tallinder – Zidlicky9:13
xG 0.24–0.15 (62%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin11:00
xG 0.22–0.06 (77%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille2:39
xG 0.28–0.18 (61%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kelly – Bourque – Peverley5:07
xG 0.21–0.56 (27%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic12:45
xG 0.51–0.92 (36%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Hamilton13:16
xG 0.55–0.31 (64%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Johnson – Seidenberg2:04
xG 0.01–0.10 (10%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Ference – Johnson10:37
xG 0.33–0.83 (28%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).