Thu, Jan 31, 2013·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 13 | 05 | 03 | 03 | 4 | 214 |
| LAK | 110 | 05 | 07 | 02 | 3 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:58NSHBrandon YipAssists: Gabriel Bourque, David Legwand · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 13:08LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Mike Richards · Wrist, 0.49 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 2. NSH David Legwand scored
- 3. LAK Mike Richards scored
- 4. NSH Craig Smith scored
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown scored
- 6. NSH Martin Erat stopped
- 7. LAK Drew Doughty stopped
- 8. NSH Colin Wilson stopped
- 9. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 10. NSH Brandon Yip stopped
- 11. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 12. NSH Gabriel Bourque scored
- 13. LAK Justin Williams stopped
- 14. NSH Roman Josi stopped
- 15. LAK Simon Gagne stopped
- 16. NSH Sergei Kostitsyn scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:24NSHScott Hannan: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:10NSHScott Hannan: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 12:10NSHPaul Gaustad: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 12:12LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:32NSHHal Gill: Cross checking2 min
- P1 0:00LAKDustin Brown: Interference2 min
- P2 3:07NSHScott Hannan: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:17LAKMike Richards: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 14:04NSHPaul Gaustad: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fisher won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- Gaustad – Clune – Halischuk4:10
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Fisher – Erat – Wilson10:47
xG 0.21–0.26 (44%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Kostitsyn – Spaling – Smith8:42
xG 0.08–0.22 (27%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Legwand – Yip – Bourque7:48
xG 0.07–0.32 (19%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Klein – Josi8:23
xG 0.24–0.20 (54%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Weber – Josi2:02
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Josi – Ellis2:06
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Carter – Richards2:00
xG 0.50–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – Clifford8:02
xG 0.43–0.07 (87%)attempts 13–3goals 0–1
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar11:22
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Gagne – Stoll – Lewis7:34
xG 0.05–0.07 (45%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty16:09
xG 0.57–0.11 (84%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Martinez – Voynov16:07
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 18–11goals 0–1
- Muzzin – Drewiske10:12
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).