Fri, Feb 1, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 09 | 16 | 04 | 0 | 128 |
| VAN | 19 | 06 | 06 | 01 | 1 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:42VANAlexander EdlerAssists: Zack Kassian, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P3 9:42CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Andrew Shaw, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. VAN Zack Kassian stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. VAN Maxim Lapierre stopped
- 6. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 7. VAN Jordan Schroeder scored
- 8. CHI Nick Leddy stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:34CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Interference2 min
- P1 12:44VANKeith Ballard: Interference2 min
- P1 16:33CHISheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:33VANAlexandre Burrows: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 18:25VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:48VANJason Garrison: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:22VANMason Raymond: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:45CHIMarcus Kruger: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:05CHIMichael Frolik: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 14:59CHIJohnny Oduya: Hooking2 min
- OT 3:49VANJason Garrison: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad9:23
xG 0.56–0.19 (75%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw6:04
xG 0.19–0.04 (82%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Sharp – Kane – Shaw2:36
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Frolik – Kruger – Bollig4:15
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrookbank – Leddy8:46
xG 0.33–0.01 (98%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook13:25
xG 0.37–0.17 (68%)attempts 11–3goals 0–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson14:03
xG 0.32–0.62 (34%)attempts 8–16goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Kassian10:53
xG 0.48–0.13 (78%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Raymond – Weise – Schroeder6:42
xG 0.09–0.01 (87%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Volpatti3:51
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Hansen8:51
xG 0.08–0.60 (12%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Edler14:08
xG 0.21–0.13 (62%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Garrison12:47
xG 0.37–0.38 (49%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Ballard – Tanev13:08
xG 0.13–0.35 (28%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).