Thu, Feb 7, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 6, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 417 | 26 | 010 | 633 |
| PHX | 04 | 110 | 110 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:17CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Andrew Shaw, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 14:52CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–0
- P1 17:24CHIDave BollandGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp · Slap, 0.10 xG3–0
- P1 18:25CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Patrick Sharp, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–0
- P2 5:19PHXMartin HanzalPPAssists: Radim Vrbata, Mikkel Boedker · Slap, 0.06 xG4–1
- P2 12:42CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–1
- P2 15:08CHIBryan BickellAssists: Viktor Stalberg · Wrist, 0.17 xG6–1
- P3 18:35PHXRaffi TorresAssists: Kyle Chipchura · Wrist, 0.26 xG6–2
Penalties (16)
- P1 2:35CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:35PHXRaffi Torres: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:05PHXRadim Vrbata: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:52PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 14:31PHXDerek Morris: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:24PHXKeith Yandle: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P1 17:58PHXZbynek Michalek: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:25PHXKeith Yandle: Misconduct10 min
- P2 4:20CHIBrandon Saad: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 4:52CHIMarcus Kruger: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:52PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Diving2 min
- P2 7:42CHIMarian Hossa: Holding2 min
- P2 9:15PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P3 6:40PHXShane Doan: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:00PHXChris Summers: Boarding2 min
- P3 15:12PHXDerek Morris: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Stalberg – Shaw8:19
xG 0.60–0.30 (67%)attempts 9–4goals 2–1
- Mayers – Frolik – Kruger6:02
xG 0.11–0.09 (54%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane10:38
xG 0.33–0.43 (43%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad9:52
xG 0.34–0.86 (28%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson13:14
xG 0.65–0.31 (68%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Leddy8:55
xG 0.42–0.29 (59%)attempts 8–6goals 2–1
- Keith – Seabrook14:44
xG 0.27–1.00 (21%)attempts 12–16goals 2–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Gordon – Korpikoski7:25
xG 0.76–0.17 (82%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Torres – Chipchura – Johnson9:19
xG 0.55–0.26 (68%)attempts 8–7goals 1–2
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Boedker7:44
xG 0.33–0.40 (46%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Sullivan – Doan – Vermette10:08
xG 0.03–0.44 (6%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Ekman-Larsson11:00
xG 0.52–0.17 (76%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Summers – Stone9:49
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 7–9goals 1–1
- Morris – Summers3:34
xG 0.05–0.21 (21%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).