Sat, Feb 9, 2013·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 1, San Jose Sharks 0 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 09 | 07 | 03 | 02 | 2 | 121 |
| SJS | 09 | 06 | 015 | 03 | 0 | 033 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. SJS Michal Handzus stopped
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
- 3. SJS James Sheppard stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
Penalties (7)
- P2 0:42SJSMichal Handzus: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:58PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Boarding2 min
- P2 14:47SJSJason Demers: Holding2 min
- P2 19:14PHXRostislav Klesla: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:01PHXBoyd Gordon: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:17PHXShane Doan: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 4:39SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Hanzal – Boedker8:47
xG 0.35–0.28 (56%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Sullivan – Moss – Gordon9:34
xG 0.54–0.52 (51%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Doan – Torres – Vermette2:33
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Korpikoski6:39
xG 0.33–0.41 (45%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Michalek3:05
xG 0.19–0.01 (95%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle15:03
xG 0.69–0.69 (50%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Yandle – Stone2:44
xG 0.00–0.18 (3%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Clowe – Pavelski13:13
xG 1.10–0.07 (94%)attempts 19–5goals 0–0
- Handzus – Sheppard – Wingels9:56
xG 0.70–0.28 (72%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Marleau – Havlat – Couture11:17
xG 0.46–0.29 (61%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Gomez – Burish – Galiardi4:45
xG 0.02–0.13 (16%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStuart – Burns14:06
xG 1.52–0.25 (86%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Boyle – Vlasic15:49
xG 1.00–0.71 (58%)attempts 22–13goals 0–0
- Braun – Demers13:05
xG 0.32–0.32 (50%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).