Tue, Feb 12, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 114 | 19 | 00 | 2 | 331 |
| CHI | 09 | 212 | 06 | 03 | 1 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:33ANARyan GetzlafPPAssists: Nick Bonino, Ben Lovejoy · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–0
- P2 10:17CHINick LeddyPPAssists: Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 10:45CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 17:20ANAAndrew CoglianoAssists: Francois Beauchemin, Ben Lovejoy · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. ANA Nick Bonino scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 4. ANA Corey Perry scored
- 5. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
Penalties (14)
- P1 4:22ANABobby Ryan: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:00CHIMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:56CHIViktor Stalberg: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 4:47ANASheldon Souray: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:00CHIBryan Bickell: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:00ANABrad Staubitz: Instigator2 min · PPG
- P2 10:00ANABrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:00ANABrad Staubitz: Misconduct10 min
- P2 11:22CHIJohnny Oduya: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:19CHIMichael Frolik: Interference2 min
- P2 19:06CHIAndrew Shaw: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 7:05ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:50ANAToni Lydman: Interference2 min
- OT 2:08ANAToni Lydman: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Koivu
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Cogliano3:14
xG 0.32–0.04 (89%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Ryan4:45
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Staubitz – Beleskey – Bonino2:04
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Winnik – Bonino – Palmieri2:43
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lydman – Sbisa14:30
xG 0.24–0.23 (51%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Allen – Lovejoy12:36
xG 0.27–0.40 (40%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Souray – Beauchemin13:18
xG 0.30–0.73 (29%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad9:32
xG 0.66–0.28 (70%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Frolik – Kruger – Bollig3:27
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw9:03
xG 0.34–0.39 (47%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane13:06
xG 0.10–0.36 (23%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Leddy9:11
xG 0.32–0.12 (72%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson17:11
xG 0.57–0.48 (55%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Keith – Seabrook15:35
xG 0.37–0.54 (41%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).