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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 19, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

New York Islanders 1, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:50Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Hickey, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 5:47Shot by Greening, saved by DiPietro
  5. P1 5:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by DiPietro
  6. P1 8:29Shot by Gryba, saved by DiPietro
  7. P1 8:59Shot by Grabner, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 9:14Condra: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Da Costa · NYI Reasoner, Okposo, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  9. P1 9:48Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson4v5
  10. P1 10:55Shot by Aucoin, saved by Anderson4v5
  11. P1 11:49Shot by Da Costa, saved by DiPietro
  12. P1 12:46Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 14:03Shot by Daugavins, saved by DiPietro
  14. P1 14:35Shot by Turris, saved by DiPietro
  15. P1 16:06Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 16:32Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 18:05Shot by Grant, saved by DiPietro
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:07Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 1:22Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 1:56Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson
  23. P2 2:11Shot by Dziurzynski, saved by DiPietro
  24. P2 2:24Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 2:32Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 3:38Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 3:42Shot by McDonald, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 3:50Shot by Hickey, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 4:01Shot by Alfredsson, saved by DiPietro
  30. P2 5:37Okposo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · NYI Reasoner, Okposo, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  31. P2 5:59Shot by Da Costa, saved by DiPietro5v4
  32. P2 6:01Goal by Greening (Da Costa, Alfredsson)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Benoit, Greening, Da Costa · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  33. P2 6:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 7:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 7:19Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 7:31Shot by Grant, saved by DiPietro
  37. P2 8:31Shot by Silfverberg, saved by DiPietro
  38. P2 8:37Goal by Benoit (Silfverberg)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Benoit, Turris, Silfverberg · NYI Reasoner, Streit, McDonald, Finley, Grabner

  39. P2 10:21Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 10:35Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 11:09Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 11:25Dziurzynski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Gryba, Smith, Dziurzynski · NYI Streit, Boyes, Moulson, Finley, Tavares

  43. P2 12:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson4v5
  44. P2 13:31Shot by Daugavins, saved by DiPietro
  45. P2 13:45Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 14:40Silfverberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Benoit, Turris, Silfverberg · NYI Reasoner, Streit, Finley, Okposo, Grabner

  47. P2 17:14Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 18:34Boyes: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Wiercioch, Silfverberg · NYI Boyes, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin, Cizikas

  49. P2 19:20Shot by Da Costa, saved by DiPietro5v4
  50. P2 19:47Shot by Phillips, saved by DiPietro5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:21Shot by Alfredsson, saved by DiPietro5v4
  54. P3 0:25Shot by Gonchar, saved by DiPietro5v4
  55. P3 2:29Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 2:44Goal by Hamonic (Reasoner, Okposo)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Benoit, Greening, Condra, Zibanejad · NYI Reasoner, Streit, Okposo, Grabner, Hamonic

  57. P3 2:57Shot by Silfverberg, saved by DiPietro
  58. P3 3:16Shot by Silfverberg, saved by DiPietro
  59. P3 4:49Gryba: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Gryba, Daugavins, Grant, Da Costa · NYI Streit, McDonald, Finley, Martin, Cizikas

  60. P3 6:24Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson4v5
  61. P3 6:50Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 7:07Shot by Aucoin, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 7:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 7:35Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 7:42Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 10:32Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 10:55Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 11:52Hickey: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Benoit, Daugavins, Grant, Zibanejad · NYI Visnovsky, Aucoin, Nielsen, Hickey, Bailey

  69. P3 13:38Shot by Silfverberg, saved by DiPietro5v4
  70. P3 14:14Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 15:50Shot by Alfredsson, saved by DiPietro
  72. P3 17:23Shot by Dziurzynski, saved by DiPietro
  73. P3 17:25Goal by Dziurzynski (Smith, Gryba)+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Gryba, Smith, Dziurzynski · NYI Streit, Boyes, Moulson, Hamonic, Tavares

  74. P3 18:09Shot by MacDonald, saved by Anderson5v6
  75. P3 18:15Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson5v6
  76. P3 19:27Okposo: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Methot, Gryba, Daugavins, Condra, Grant · NYI Streit, Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Okposo, Tavares

  77. P3 19:27Tavares: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Gryba, Daugavins, Condra, Grant · NYI Streit, Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Okposo, Tavares

  78. P3 19:59Shot by Smith, saved by DiPietro5v3
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final