Tue, Feb 19, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 112 | 06 | 213 | 01 | 1 | 332 |
| CHI | 09 | 316 | 013 | 05 | 2 | 443 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:34VANDaniel SedinAssists: Dan Hamhuis · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 6:36CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Patrick Kane, Michal Rozsival · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 13:48CHIMarian HossaPPAssists: Johnny Oduya, Duncan Keith · Slap, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 17:15CHIMarian HossaUnassisted · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–3
- P3 17:18VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 18:59VANKevin BieksaAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 2. VAN Jordan Schroeder stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. VAN Chris Higgins scored
- 5. CHI Andrew Shaw scored
- 6. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
Penalties (15)
- P1 6:43VANDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:43CHIBrandon Bollig: Instigator2 min
- P1 6:43CHIBrandon Bollig: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:43CHIBrandon Bollig: Misconduct10 min
- P1 16:49VANJason Garrison: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:49VANKeith Ballard: Interference2 min
- P2 12:45VANMaxim Lapierre: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:13VANAlexander Edler: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:13CHIPatrick Sharp: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:10VANJannik Hansen: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:17CHIDave Bolland: Interference2 min
- P3 8:51VANRyan Kesler: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 8:51CHIJonathan Toews: Interference2 min
- P3 10:34VANDaniel Sedin: Interference2 min
- P3 16:37CHIMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLapierre – Booth – Weise3:35
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Kesler – Booth – Hansen2:20
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Higgins – Schroeder – Kassian4:39
xG 0.09–0.19 (32%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Kesler – Hansen – Raymond7:55
xG 0.20–0.55 (27%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBallard – Tanev9:37
xG 0.64–0.46 (58%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler2:24
xG 0.03–0.11 (19%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa2:17
xG 0.01–0.10 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad7:00
xG 0.76–0.05 (94%)attempts 10–2goals 1–1
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw6:18
xG 0.63–0.18 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Frolik – Kruger – Bollig3:20
xG 0.05–0.11 (30%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane13:08
xG 0.39–0.55 (41%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson9:59
xG 1.04–0.15 (88%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Rozsival – Oduya2:03
xG 0.33–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Keith10:53
xG 0.53–0.41 (57%)attempts 15–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).