Sun, Feb 24, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Vancouver Canucks 3, Detroit Red Wings 8
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 37 | 03 | 011 | 321 |
| DET | 26 | 312 | 310 | 828 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:45VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 11:08DETJordin TootooUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 12:37DETNiklas KronwallAssists: Pavel Datsyuk, Daniel Cleary · Slap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P1 16:18VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexandre Burrows · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–2
- P1 18:26VANChris HigginsUnassisted · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 2:57DETDaniel ClearyPPAssists: Damien Brunner, Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.49 xG3–3
- P2 15:10DETHenrik ZetterbergPPGWGAssists: Pavel Datsyuk, Niklas Kronwall · Snap, 0.19 xG3–4
- P2 19:18DETDamien BrunnerPPAssists: Niklas Kronwall, Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.32 xG3–5
- P3 9:36DETDamien BrunnerAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Jonathan Ericsson · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–6
- P3 16:39DETJoakim AnderssonAssists: Tomas Tatar, Jakub Kindl · Slap, 0.02 xG3–7
- P3 17:31DETJoakim AnderssonAssists: Damien Brunner, Jonathan Ericsson · Slap, 0.09 xG3–8
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:44VANRyan Kesler: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:31VANChris Tanev: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:45VANZack Kassian: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 9:35DETJordin Tootoo: Charging2 min
- P2 9:35VANZack Kassian: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:20VANDale Weise: Illegal check to head2 min · PPG
- P2 15:59DETDamien Brunner: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:17VANZack Kassian: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P2 0:00DETJustin Abdelkader: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zetterberg won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows10:20
xG 0.28–0.20 (58%)attempts 6–8goals 2–0
- Lapierre – Weise – Volpatti7:35
xG 0.13–0.06 (70%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Raymond – Schroeder – Kassian10:03
xG 0.33–0.37 (48%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Hansen8:16
xG 0.24–0.45 (35%)attempts 5–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev13:19
xG 0.57–0.00 (100%)attempts 14–2goals 1–0
- Alberts – Ballard12:20
xG 0.25–0.41 (38%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Edler – Garrison15:15
xG 0.45–0.80 (36%)attempts 8–14goals 2–1
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestTootoo – Miller – Emmerton8:59
xG 0.40–0.22 (64%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
- Cleary – Datsyuk – Abdelkader11:51
xG 0.20–0.20 (51%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Eaves – Andersson – Tatar10:42
xG 0.18–0.18 (50%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Zetterberg – Filppula – Brunner9:34
xG 0.40–0.47 (46%)attempts 5–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKronwall – Ericsson13:11
xG 0.62–0.26 (70%)attempts 14–7goals 2–1
- Huskins – Kindl14:24
xG 0.48–0.23 (68%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Huskins – White2:48
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).