Sun, Feb 24, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 07 | 013 | 08 | 028 |
| CHI | 07 | 114 | 06 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 18:33CHIAndrew ShawGWGAssists: Bryan Bickell, Johnny Oduya · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 4:46CBJJohn Moore: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:55CHIMarcus Kruger: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 17:48CBJNick Foligno: Boarding2 min
- P2 2:32CBJVinny Prospal: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:00CHIDuncan Keith: Interference2 min
- P2 15:58CHIMichal Rozsival: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:58CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00CBJMatt Calvert: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:24CHIViktor Stalberg: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:51CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Interference2 min
- P3 14:11CHIAndrew Shaw: Charging2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Brassard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- MacKenzie – Boll – Letestu4:23
xG 0.07–0.14 (34%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Calvert – Johansen5:35
xG 0.05–0.15 (25%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Umberger – Brassard – Atkinson8:45
xG 0.44–0.59 (43%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Prospal – Drazenovic – Dorsett5:59
xG 0.03–0.66 (4%)attempts 1–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Moore11:29
xG 0.56–0.36 (61%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Nikitin11:17
xG 0.20–0.71 (22%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Wisniewski – Erixon12:39
xG 0.15–0.96 (14%)attempts 7–18goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Kane – Kruger9:04
xG 0.51–0.07 (89%)attempts 14–1goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad7:36
xG 0.62–0.25 (71%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Kane2:26
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Mayers – Carcillo – Frolik3:54
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook13:19
xG 0.91–0.16 (85%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson10:50
xG 0.68–0.37 (65%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Rozsival – Leddy12:18
xG 0.61–0.36 (63%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).