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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 9, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New Jersey Devils 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6

Away

New Jersey Devils

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.

CAR winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 1:37Shot by Tlusty, saved by Hedberg
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Zajac, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Carter, saved by Ellis
  6. P1 7:28Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Hedberg
  7. P1 7:36Shot by McBain, saved by Hedberg
  8. P1 8:20Shot by Carter, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 8:32Harrison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Brent, Wallace, Bowman, Faulk · NJD Kostopoulos, Fayne, Greene, Carter, Henrique

  10. P1 8:57Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Ellis4v5
  11. P1 9:28Shot by Harrold, saved by Ellis4v5
  12. P1 9:29Shot by Henrique, saved by Ellis4v5
  13. P1 9:42Shot by Harrold, saved by Ellis4v5
  14. P1 10:19Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Ellis4v5
  15. P1 11:12Shot by Staal, saved by Hedberg
  16. P1 11:31Kostopoulos: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Wallace, Skinner · NJD Elias, Kostopoulos, Volchenkov, Gionta, Larsson

  17. P1 12:16Goal by Semin (Corvo, Tlusty)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Semin, Brent, Staal, Tlusty · NJD Zajac, Fayne, Greene, Carter

  18. P1 12:42Shot by Staal, saved by Hedberg
  19. P1 12:44Goal by Harrison (Skinner, Staal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · NJD Ponikarovsky, Kovalchuk, Zidlicky, Harrold, Loktionov

  20. P1 12:49Elias: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty · NJD Elias, Volchenkov, Clarkson, Henrique, Larsson

  21. P1 14:40Goal by Kovalchuk, unassisted5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · NJD Volchenkov, Kovalchuk, Henrique, Larsson

  22. P1 14:59Shot by Nash, saved by Hedberg
  23. P1 16:53Shot by Fayne, saved by Ellis
  24. P1 17:01Faulk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · NJD Kostopoulos, Fayne, Greene, Gionta, Carter

  25. P1 17:52Shot by Henrique, saved by Ellis4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:26Shot by Loktionov, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 3:35Shot by Brent, saved by Hedberg
  30. P2 4:42Goal by Tlusty (Semin, Ellis)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · NJD Zidlicky, Bernier, Zajac, Harrold, Matteau

  31. P2 6:15Shot by Gionta, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 6:28Shot by Carter, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 7:01Shot by Elias, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 9:05Zajac: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Bowman · NJD Kostopoulos, Zidlicky, Zajac, Harrold, Matteau

  35. P2 9:10Shot by McBain, saved by Hedberg5v4
  36. P2 9:17Shot by Corvo, saved by Hedberg5v4
  37. P2 9:43Shot by Staal, saved by Hedberg5v4
  38. P2 11:09Goal by Terry (Staal, Sanguinetti)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Terry · NJD Volchenkov, Zajac, Gionta, Carter, Larsson

  39. P2 12:00Shot by Fayne, saved by Ellis
  40. P2 12:12Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 12:11Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 15:34Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 16:13Shot by Loktionov, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 16:22Shot by Loktionov, saved by Ellis
  45. P2 16:55Shot by Skinner, saved by Hedberg
  46. P2 17:12Shot by Gleason, saved by Hedberg
  47. P2 17:15Goal by Skinner (Gleason, Jokinen)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, Skinner · NJD Zidlicky, Clarkson, Harrold, Carter, Henrique

  48. P2 17:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Hedberg
  49. P2 19:29Shot by Greene, saved by Ellis
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:22Goal by Kovalchuk (Fayne, Greene)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · NJD Ponikarovsky, Kovalchuk, Fayne, Greene, Loktionov

  53. P3 0:33Shot by Carter, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 0:38Shot by Gionta, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 0:46Shot by Harrold, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 3:55Shot by Elias, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 4:21Goal by Elias (Zidlicky, Volchenkov)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, Skinner · NJD Elias, Volchenkov, Zidlicky, Clarkson, Henrique

  58. P3 5:33Shot by Dwyer, saved by Frazee
  59. P3 9:04Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 10:23Shot by Staal, saved by Frazee
  61. P3 12:48Shot by Gionta, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 13:07Shot by Kostopoulos, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 13:38Shot by Clarkson, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 18:46Goal by Tlusty (Semin, Staal)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · NJD Elias, Kovalchuk, Clarkson, Greene, Loktionov, Larsson

  65. P3 19:06Shot by Dwyer, saved by Frazee
  66. P3 19:48Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Ellis
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final