Sat, Mar 16, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Phoenix Coyotes 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 012 | 016 | 09 | 02 | 0 | 039 |
| CBJ | 012 | 07 | 03 | 01 | 2 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Artem Anisimov scored
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 3. CBJ Mark Letestu scored
- 4. PHX Steve Sullivan stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:00PHXMatthew Lombardi: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 1:38PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:38CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:14PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 18:47CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:13CBJTim Erixon: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Gordon – Klinkhammer9:10
xG 0.54–0.04 (92%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker3:25
xG 0.11–0.00 (99%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Torres – Lombardi – Bissonnette3:12
xG 0.20–0.11 (66%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Korpikoski – Hanzal – Boedker7:47
xG 0.25–0.19 (58%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle14:00
xG 0.88–0.24 (79%)attempts 23–6goals 0–0
- Schlemko – Stone14:14
xG 0.47–0.50 (48%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Klesla – Ekman-Larsson14:51
xG 0.34–0.50 (40%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBoll – Anisimov – Gillies3:09
xG 0.26–0.03 (91%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Letestu – Calvert3:08
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Prospal – Brassard – Letestu8:59
xG 0.31–0.22 (58%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson4:40
xG 0.02–0.07 (22%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Nikitin – Prout14:08
xG 0.51–0.62 (45%)attempts 8–21goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Johnson16:30
xG 0.19–0.37 (34%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Erixon – Moore14:44
xG 0.61–0.78 (44%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).