Sat, Mar 30, 2013·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 2, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 111 | 08 | 18 | 02 | 0 | 229 |
| SJS | 014 | 19 | 19 | 02 | 1 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:43PHXBoyd GordonAssists: Rob Klinkhammer, Derek Morris · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 10:24SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 0:33PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Shane Doan, David Schlemko · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–1
- P3 15:00SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicAssists: Joe Pavelski, Dan Boyle · Slap, 0.24 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 2. PHX Steve Sullivan stopped
- 3. SJS Dan Boyle stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 6. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
Penalties (2)
- P2 7:59PHXRob Klinkhammer: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- OT 4:47SJSRyane Clowe: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Gomez
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Gordon – Klinkhammer12:42
xG 0.40–0.15 (73%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Doan – Vrbata – Hanzal16:18
xG 0.95–0.91 (51%)attempts 15–24goals 1–0
- Torres – Vermette – Chipchura10:48
xG 0.60–0.60 (50%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Sullivan – Lombardi – Boedker10:19
xG 0.51–1.19 (30%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko16:47
xG 1.21–1.04 (54%)attempts 17–17goals 1–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson17:20
xG 0.96–0.98 (49%)attempts 21–17goals 1–1
- Morris – Yandle2:45
xG 0.07–0.14 (33%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestClowe – Pavelski – Galiardi11:51
xG 1.10–0.55 (67%)attempts 23–10goals 1–0
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels14:16
xG 1.07–0.75 (59%)attempts 16–11goals 0–1
- Thornton – Clowe – Galiardi2:03
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Gomez – Desjardins – Sheppard9:12
xG 0.17–0.10 (64%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Irwin18:14
xG 1.13–0.21 (85%)attempts 26–11goals 0–0
- Stuart – Burns18:03
xG 1.16–1.44 (45%)attempts 21–23goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Braun16:19
xG 0.46–0.89 (34%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).