Tue, Apr 2, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 1, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 115 | 016 | 09 | 140 |
| PHX | 113 | 18 | 110 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:02PHXKeith YandleAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Raffi Torres · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 12:12LAKJustin WilliamsUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 11:05PHXMatthew LombardiGWGAssists: Rob Klinkhammer, Mikkel Boedker · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 17:07PHXKeith YandleAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Raffi Torres · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:04PHXMichael Stone: Holding2 min
- P1 7:06LAKAnze Kopitar: Boarding2 min
- P2 1:39PHXRadim Vrbata: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:28LAKBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:35PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:01LAKJustin Williams: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Brown – Kopitar15:39
xG 1.14–0.57 (67%)attempts 19–18goals 1–0
- Stoll – Lewis – King9:13
xG 0.22–0.17 (56%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Richardson – Clifford – Nolan3:44
xG 0.13–0.17 (43%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Carter – Richards – Toffoli2:50
xG 0.09–0.15 (39%)attempts 4–1goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Voynov3:47
xG 0.47–0.05 (90%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty15:59
xG 0.63–0.32 (67%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Voynov15:16
xG 0.63–0.60 (51%)attempts 16–16goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestSullivan – Lombardi – Boedker6:58
xG 0.16–0.01 (94%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Torres – Vermette – Chipchura10:14
xG 0.39–0.29 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Moss – Gordon – Klinkhammer9:34
xG 0.10–0.28 (25%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Doan – Vrbata – Hanzal16:20
xG 0.82–1.12 (42%)attempts 21–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko14:52
xG 0.61–0.13 (82%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Morris – Klesla12:55
xG 0.33–0.57 (37%)attempts 16–17goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson17:38
xG 0.64–1.15 (36%)attempts 16–21goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).