Fri, Apr 5, 2013·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
New York Rangers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 013 | 06 | 114 | 02 | 0 | 135 |
| PIT | 011 | 09 | 14 | 03 | 1 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 0:30PITJussi JokinenAssists: Chris Kunitz, Pascal Dupuis · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P3 15:11NYRRick NashAssists: Derek Stepan · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PIT Jussi Jokinen scored
- 2. NYR Rick Nash stopped
- 3. PIT Evgeni Malkin stopped
- 4. NYR Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 5. PIT Pascal Dupuis stopped
- 6. NYR Ryan Callahan stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:13PITDeryk Engelland: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:13NYRRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:43PITMark Eaton: Holding2 min
- P2 13:15NYRDarroll Powe: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:15NYRBrian Boyle: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:09PITPascal Dupuis: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jokinen won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Clowe – Zuccarello12:40
xG 0.44–0.03 (93%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Boyle – Brassard – Hagelin11:00
xG 0.45–0.21 (68%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Nash – Callahan – Stepan15:46
xG 0.84–0.70 (55%)attempts 26–14goals 1–1
- Asham – Pyatt – Powe5:53
xG 0.05–0.05 (49%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGirardi – McDonagh6:02
xG 0.88–0.02 (97%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Girardi – Del Zotto13:19
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Stralman – McDonagh15:02
xG 0.48–0.18 (73%)attempts 21–7goals 1–1
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestAdams – Glass – Kennedy4:22
xG 0.38–0.04 (91%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Dupuis – Jokinen – Kunitz8:37
xG 0.11–0.30 (26%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Cooke – Morrow – Sutter8:55
xG 0.18–0.43 (30%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
- Iginla – Malkin – Neal12:39
xG 0.14–1.09 (11%)attempts 12–22goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Engelland – Bortuzzo8:51
xG 0.07–0.07 (50%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Murray – Niskanen13:27
xG 0.20–0.27 (42%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Orpik – Engelland2:10
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).