Fri, Apr 5, 2013·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, St. Louis Blues 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 07 | 112 | 08 | 127 |
| STL | 05 | 211 | 13 | 319 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:58STLChris StewartPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Jay Bouwmeester · Backhand, 0.20 xG0–1
- P2 18:36CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Marian Gaborik, Vinny Prospal · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 18:45STLDavid BackesGWGAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Alexander Steen · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 19:59STLPatrik BerglundENAssists: Jay Bouwmeester · Wrist, 0.76 xG1–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 3:36CBJVinny Prospal: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:00STLVladimir Tarasenko: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:33STLChris Stewart: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:33STLAndy McDonald: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:33CBJVinny Prospal: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:33CBJFedor Tyutin: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:31CBJMatt Calvert: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:26CBJCam Atkinson: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:30CBJJames Wisniewski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 10:39STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:39CBJNick Foligno: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:20STLBarret Jackman: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sobotka won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Foligno – Johansen8:39
xG 0.50–0.12 (80%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Prospal – Gaborik – Anisimov10:16
xG 0.22–0.25 (47%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson11:47
xG 0.41–0.44 (48%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Letestu4:38
xG 0.08–0.11 (40%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNikitin – Prout9:31
xG 0.32–0.05 (87%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Prout3:08
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Johnson3:16
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestPorter – Cracknell – Reaves6:56
xG 0.20–0.02 (90%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Steen – Backes – Schwartz11:00
xG 0.45–0.59 (43%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- McDonald – Stewart – Berglund10:14
xG 0.28–0.44 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Perron – Tarasenko9:13
xG 0.15–0.38 (29%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeopold – Shattenkirk14:07
xG 0.44–0.30 (59%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo16:48
xG 0.55–0.51 (52%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Jackman – Polak14:05
xG 0.23–0.79 (23%)attempts 7–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).