Mon, Apr 8, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Phoenix Coyotes 0, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 09 | 06 | 04 | 019 |
| VAN | 116 | 016 | 110 | 242 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:26VANRyan KeslerGWGAssists: Mason Raymond, Kevin Bieksa · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–1
- P3 19:00VANDan HamhuisENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.50 xG0–2
Penalties (7)
- P2 16:00VANDale Weise: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:24PHXRob Klinkhammer: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 19:58PHXMichael Stone: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:58VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:23PHXShane Doan: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:38VANRyan Kesler: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:38VANJason Garrison: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Gordon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Gordon – Klinkhammer12:43
xG 0.38–0.28 (57%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Chipchura – Brown2:02
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Vermette – Boedker – Brown2:08
xG 0.04–0.08 (35%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Vermette – Chipchura – Boedker2:23
xG 0.00–0.39 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Schlemko2:41
xG 0.12–0.04 (78%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle5:56
xG 0.05–0.12 (30%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson15:48
xG 0.41–0.49 (45%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRoy – Higgins – Hansen12:11
xG 0.81–0.24 (77%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Kesler – Raymond – Kassian9:26
xG 0.73–0.32 (70%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows11:43
xG 0.60–0.27 (69%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Ebbett – Weise5:34
xG 0.09–0.12 (42%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Ballard11:26
xG 1.31–0.23 (85%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler17:47
xG 1.06–0.39 (73%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Garrison18:16
xG 0.60–0.41 (60%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).