Tue, Apr 9, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 010 | 011 | 030 |
| CBJ | 19 | 215 | 16 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:39CBJMatt CalvertGWGAssists: Cam Atkinson, Mark Letestu · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–1
- P2 3:09CBJJames WisniewskiAssists: Adrian Aucoin, Derek MacKenzie · Slap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 5:05CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Marian Gaborik, Vinny Prospal · Snap, 0.17 xG0–3
- P3 7:16CBJMarian GaborikAssists: Artem Anisimov, Jack Johnson · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:11SJSJames Sheppard: Slashing2 min
- P1 3:11CBJAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
- P2 7:32SJSDan Boyle: Interference2 min
- P2 13:38SJSTJ Galiardi: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 16:18CBJMatt Calvert: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Wingels9:47
xG 0.50–0.01 (99%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Burish – Desjardins – Sheppard10:37
xG 0.43–0.22 (66%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Torres – Pavelski – Galiardi12:14
xG 0.18–0.59 (24%)attempts 14–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Demers6:11
xG 0.40–0.05 (88%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Boyle – Stuart8:07
xG 0.34–0.16 (69%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun4:38
xG 0.07–0.05 (61%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestLetestu – Calvert – Atkinson13:13
xG 0.55–0.34 (62%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Gillies9:07
xG 0.19–0.07 (72%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen11:31
xG 0.44–0.33 (57%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Prospal – Gaborik – Anisimov10:53
xG 0.07–0.46 (14%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNikitin – Prout14:57
xG 0.57–0.38 (60%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Aucoin – Wisniewski17:31
xG 0.67–0.55 (55%)attempts 13–18goals 2–0
- Tyutin – Johnson16:12
xG 0.36–0.53 (41%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).