Sun, Apr 14, 2013·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 2, St. Louis Blues 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 010 | 19 | 17 | 226 |
| STL | 011 | 07 | 012 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:31CHIBryan BickellGWGAssists: Viktor Stalberg · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P3 6:34CHIMarian HossaSHAssists: Jonathan Toews · Slap, 0.03 xG2–0
Penalties (14)
- P1 8:42CHIDave Bolland: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:42STLRoman Polak: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:42CHISheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:24STLDavid Perron: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:24CHIBrandon Bollig: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:04STLPatrik Berglund: Interference2 min
- P1 18:04CHIViktor Stalberg: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:28STLAndy McDonald: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:46STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:01STLAlexander Steen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 3:56CHIMarcus Kruger: Interference2 min
- P3 6:16CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:05STLVladimir Sobotka: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:05CHIDave Bolland: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Backes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Stalberg – Shaw6:55
xG 0.47–0.35 (58%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Bolland – Kane – Kruger7:44
xG 0.16–0.20 (44%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad9:57
xG 0.12–0.17 (41%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Handzus – Frolik – Bollig6:35
xG 0.15–0.40 (27%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson2:20
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Leddy12:05
xG 0.43–0.38 (53%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Keith – Hjalmarsson14:04
xG 0.31–0.33 (49%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestMcDonald – Sobotka – Tarasenko8:00
xG 0.53–0.23 (70%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Porter – Stewart – Berglund2:02
xG 0.14–0.03 (83%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Porter – Cracknell – Reaves5:33
xG 0.13–0.11 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Steen – Backes – Perron9:07
xG 0.15–0.17 (46%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeopold – Shattenkirk13:15
xG 0.69–0.52 (57%)attempts 19–11goals 0–1
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo14:01
xG 0.39–0.32 (55%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Jackman – Polak9:50
xG 0.12–0.11 (53%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).