Tue, Apr 16, 2013·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 1, St. Louis Blues 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 05 | 16 | 07 | 04 | 0 | 122 |
| STL | 014 | 011 | 110 | 01 | 2 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 19:47VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P3 10:50STLJay BouwmeesterAssists: David Perron, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. STL Andy McDonald scored
- 2. VAN Derek Roy stopped
- 3. STL Kevin Shattenkirk stopped
- 4. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 5. STL Alexander Steen scored
Penalties (15)
- P1 8:42VANMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:44VANAlexandre Burrows: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:50STLChris Stewart: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:11VANRyan Kesler: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:56VANKeith Ballard: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:56STLDavid Backes: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:56STLDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:56VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:56VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:46STLVladimir Sobotka: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:35STLJay Bouwmeester: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:21STLDavid Perron: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:21STLDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:21VANAndrew Alberts: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:21VANZack Kassian: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Sobotka
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows12:34
xG 0.54–0.34 (61%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Roy – Kesler – Hansen13:45
xG 0.51–0.46 (53%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Sestito – Weise3:10
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Raymond – Ebbett – Kassian7:53
xG 0.23–0.62 (28%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBarker – Edler13:49
xG 0.45–0.32 (59%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Garrison18:19
xG 0.67–0.60 (53%)attempts 15–18goals 0–0
- Alberts – Ballard10:58
xG 0.12–1.15 (9%)attempts 3–18goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Backes – Perron9:21
xG 0.75–0.37 (67%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Porter – Reaves – Jaskin4:46
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Berglund – Tarasenko – Schwartz6:54
xG 0.21–0.23 (48%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- McDonald – Sobotka – Stewart10:49
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeopold – Shattenkirk12:51
xG 1.08–0.18 (86%)attempts 20–4goals 0–0
- Jackman – Polak14:54
xG 0.51–0.51 (50%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo16:30
xG 0.47–0.49 (49%)attempts 16–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).