Thu, Apr 18, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New York Islanders 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 80% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:26Fraser: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Franson, Fraser, Komarov · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, MacDonald, Bailey, Hamonic
- P1 1:45Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Reimer4v5
- P1 1:58Franson: Boarding (2 min)4v5
On ice: TOR Liles, McClement, Franson, Kulemin · NYI Streit, Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Tavares
- P1 2:17Shot by Moulson, saved by Reimer3v5
- P1 4:13Shot by Bailey, saved by Reimer
- P1 4:25Shot by Hamonic, saved by Reimer
- P1 5:05Goal by Lupul (Kessel, Gardiner)+17 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Franson, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Streit, McDonald, Cizikas
- P1 5:28Carkner: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, O'Byrne, Kulemin, Kadri · NYI Carkner, Streit, Aucoin, McDonald, Grabner
- P1 6:41Goal by Franson (Bozak, Kessel)5v4+9 pts WP
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · NYI Visnovsky, Bailey, Hamonic, Martin
- P1 7:11Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
- P1 7:21Shot by Hickey, saved by Reimer
- P1 7:44Carkner: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · NYI Carkner, Streit, Nielsen, Okposo, Bailey
- P1 7:44McLaren: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · NYI Carkner, Streit, Nielsen, Okposo, Bailey
- P1 7:48Orr: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, O'Byrne, Komarov · NYI Boulton, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin, Cizikas
- P1 7:48Boulton: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, O'Byrne, Komarov · NYI Boulton, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin, Cizikas
- P1 7:52Shot by MacDonald, saved by Reimer
- P1 8:23Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
- P1 8:28Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
- P1 9:07Goal by Boyes (Tavares, Visnovsky)+13 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Hickey, Tavares
- P1 9:17Shot by Okposo, saved by Reimer
- P1 11:04Hamonic: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Hamonic, Tavares
- P1 11:10Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov5v4
- P1 11:15van Riemsdyk: High sticking (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald
- P1 12:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer4v4
- P1 12:44Shot by Hickey, saved by Reimer4v4
- P1 14:29Komarov: Boarding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, O'Byrne, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · NYI Aucoin, McDonald, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic
- P1 15:03Goal by Moulson (Boyes, Visnovsky)4v5+20 pts WP
On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, O'Byrne, Bozak · NYI Streit, Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Tavares
- P1 15:52Shot by Cizikas, saved by Reimer
- P1 17:04Shot by Moulson, saved by Reimer
- P1 17:24Goal by Tavares (Moulson, MacDonald)+20 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Boyes, Moulson, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares
- P1 17:37Shot by Hamonic, saved by Reimer
- P1 18:10Shot by Fraser, saved by Nabokov
- P1 18:31Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Reimer
- P1 19:04Shot by MacArthur, saved by Nabokov
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:55Shot by McDonald, saved by Reimer
- P2 3:21Shot by Boulton, saved by Reimer
- P2 3:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer
- P2 5:10Shot by Aucoin, saved by Reimer
- P2 5:20Shot by Grabner, saved by Reimer
- P2 5:37Shot by Grabner, saved by Reimer
- P2 6:21Shot by McClement, saved by Nabokov
- P2 6:50Shot by McClement, saved by Nabokov
- P2 7:49Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Reimer
- P2 9:27Shot by Grabovski, saved by Nabokov
- P2 9:36Shot by Bailey, saved by Reimer
- P2 9:42Shot by Aucoin, saved by Reimer
- P2 10:03Shot by Hickey, saved by Reimer
- P2 11:23Shot by Franson, saved by Nabokov
- P2 12:23Shot by McDonald, saved by Reimer
- P2 13:27Shot by Nielsen, saved by Reimer
- P2 14:40Goal by Tavares (Boyes, Streit)+18 pts WP
On ice: TOR McClement, Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk · NYI Boyes, Visnovsky, Moulson, Hickey, Tavares
- P2 16:40Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
- P2 18:57Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nabokov
- P2 19:42Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:09Shot by Bailey, saved by Reimer
- P3 2:02Shot by Boulton, saved by Reimer
- P3 4:53Shot by Liles, saved by Nabokov
- P3 8:12Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Nabokov
- P3 10:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov
- P3 10:22Goal by Nielsen (Okposo)+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · NYI Visnovsky, Nielsen, Okposo, Hickey, Bailey
- P3 10:55Phaneuf: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Boyes, Moulson, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares
- P3 13:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokov
- P3 14:06Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov
- P3 15:16Shot by Bailey, saved by Reimer
- P3 16:56Shot by Lupul, saved by Nabokov
- P3 17:22Shot by MacArthur, saved by Nabokov
- P3 17:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov
- P3 18:33Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nabokov
- P3 18:34Boulton: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR O'Byrne, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · NYI Boulton, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin, Cizikas
- P3 18:53Nabokov: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic
- P3 19:33Goal by Phaneuf (Kessel, Gardiner)other0 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · NYI Nielsen, MacDonald, Hamonic
- P3 19:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov6v4
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final