Thu, Apr 18, 2013·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 04 | 18 | 09 | 121 |
| LAK | 18 | 112 | 03 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:35LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Mike Richards, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.48 xG0–1
- P2 12:07CBJDalton ProutAssists: Blake Comeau, Fedor Tyutin · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 13:32LAKKyle CliffordGWGAssists: Jordan Nolan, Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:40LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:40CBJJames Wisniewski: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 8:02CBJDalton Prout: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:08LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:08CBJNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:53LAKJarret Stoll: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 14:59CBJDerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:46LAKMatt Greene: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:00CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMacKenzie – Comeau – Boll6:00
xG 0.29–0.12 (70%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson9:00
xG 0.17–0.10 (63%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Prospal – Gaborik – Dubinsky2:24
xG 0.10–0.09 (52%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Prospal – Gaborik – Letestu6:12
xG 0.12–0.21 (36%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Johnson2:09
xG 0.51–0.01 (98%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Erixon – Savard5:06
xG 0.25–0.04 (85%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Prout4:33
xG 0.21–0.18 (53%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Richardson – Clifford – Nolan7:59
xG 0.30–0.30 (50%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Stoll – Lewis – King12:00
xG 0.13–0.13 (50%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar13:23
xG 0.43–0.52 (45%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – Penner8:45
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Doughty16:57
xG 0.67–0.39 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Greene – Muzzin13:26
xG 0.47–0.38 (55%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Scuderi – Voynov14:12
xG 0.25–0.57 (30%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).