Sat, Apr 20, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Phoenix Coyotes 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 29 | 04 | 015 | 03 | 2 | 331 |
| CHI | 116 | 112 | 08 | 02 | 1 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:20CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Nick Leddy, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 12:06PHXRostislav KleslaAssists: Michael Stone · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 14:40PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Rob Klinkhammer · Snap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 3:39CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 6. PHX David Schlemko scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:47CHIBryan Bickell: Interference2 min
- P1 7:06PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:28PHXChris Conner: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 16:09CHIAndrew Shaw: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:58PHXAntoine Vermette: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:40CHIBrandon Saad: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:09PHXAntoine Vermette: Interference2 min
- P2 15:47CHIMarian Hossa: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:20CHIBryan Bickell: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Bissonnette – Bolduc – Chipchura2:14
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Boedker10:48
xG 0.26–0.42 (38%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Doan – Vermette – Conner8:17
xG 0.35–0.52 (40%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Chipchura2:27
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Yandle4:29
xG 0.14–0.09 (61%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Yandle – Schlemko11:50
xG 0.34–0.47 (42%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Klesla – Stone11:09
xG 0.74–1.12 (40%)attempts 17–15goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad10:38
xG 0.99–0.24 (81%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw8:02
xG 0.73–0.37 (66%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Bolland – Kane – Kruger8:45
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Hossa – Toews – Kane2:32
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Leddy12:48
xG 0.93–0.22 (81%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Hjalmarsson15:03
xG 0.80–0.27 (75%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Oduya – Brookbank10:55
xG 0.65–0.59 (52%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).