Thu, Apr 25, 2013·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 112 | 010 | 213 | 335 |
| DAL | 010 | 115 | 07 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:19CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Blake Comeau, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.45 xG1–0
- P2 8:43DALJamie BennPPAssists: Erik Cole, Ray Whitney · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
- P3 7:56CBJMark LetestuPPGWGAssists: Brandon Dubinsky · Slap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 18:20CBJCam AtkinsonPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Dalton Prout · Wrist, 0.44 xG3–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 6:54CBJDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:54DALEric Nystrom: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:21CBJBlake Comeau: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:17DALStephane Robidas: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:15DALLane MacDermid: Interference2 min
- P2 1:47DALJamie Benn: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 1:47CBJVinny Prospal: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:36CBJRyan Johansen: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:51DALLane MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:51CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:42CBJAdrian Aucoin: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:53DALStephane Robidas: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 17:11DALEric Nystrom: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eakin won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestComeau – Dubinsky – Atkinson10:47
xG 1.12–0.30 (79%)attempts 15–17goals 1–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Gillies4:21
xG 0.16–0.02 (87%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen11:26
xG 0.35–0.48 (42%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
- Prospal – Gaborik – Letestu10:20
xG 0.74–1.07 (41%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Wisniewski15:13
xG 1.43–0.86 (62%)attempts 15–19goals 1–0
- Johnson – Prout14:35
xG 0.37–0.49 (43%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
- Johnson – Erixon3:45
xG 0.02–0.45 (5%)attempts 1–11goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestCole – Fiddler – Nystrom9:47
xG 0.54–0.34 (61%)attempts 19–6goals 0–0
- Whitney – Eriksson – Benn13:21
xG 0.63–0.55 (53%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Wandell – Smith – MacDermid4:38
xG 0.05–0.06 (43%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Roussel – Eakin – Garbutt7:23
xG 0.88–0.94 (48%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRobidas – Daley11:38
xG 1.29–0.75 (63%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Larsen – Benn14:28
xG 0.39–0.53 (43%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Dillon16:53
xG 0.89–1.19 (43%)attempts 20–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).