Thu, Oct 3, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
New York Rangers 1, Phoenix Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 08 | 19 | 07 | 124 |
| PHX | 18 | 116 | 28 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:36PHXKyle ChipchuraAssists: Rob Klinkhammer, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 3:38NYRMarc StaalPPAssists: Rick Nash, Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 7:05PHXRadim VrbataGWGAssists: Martin Hanzal, Derek Morris · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–2
- P3 1:10PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 7:23PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 1:06NYRBenoit Pouliot: Holding2 min
- P1 5:18PHXDavid Rundblad: Holding2 min
- P1 16:33PHXKeith Yandle: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:58PHXDavid Schlemko: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 4:46NYRJohn Moore: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:02NYRDan Girardi: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 6:50NYRJ.T. Miller: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:50PHXLucas Lessio: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:05NYRDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:05PHXChris Brown: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P3 13:05PHXChris Brown: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:05PHXChris Brown: Instigator2 min
- P3 17:56PHXMartin Hanzal: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:56NYRRick Nash: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Ribeiro won the faceoff against Boyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Boyle – Fast6:34
xG 0.25–0.05 (84%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Brassard – Zuccarello9:13
xG 0.29–0.13 (69%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Moore – Dorsett – Miller5:14
xG 0.10–0.10 (49%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Richards – Nash – Stepan10:40
xG 0.17–0.37 (32%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Moore7:13
xG 0.34–0.17 (66%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Girardi – Moore3:10
xG 0.10–0.01 (92%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Staal – Girardi3:06
xG 0.03–0.02 (56%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Ribeiro – Boedker13:48
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Vermette – Moss – Lessio7:53
xG 0.20–0.25 (45%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Klinkhammer – Brown4:48
xG 0.02–0.08 (19%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Korpikoski – Hanzal9:39
xG 0.03–0.34 (9%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle14:21
xG 0.75–0.35 (68%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson13:38
xG 0.33–0.25 (57%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Schlemko – Rundblad14:19
xG 0.25–0.46 (35%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).