Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 116 | 213 | 336 |
| CBJ | 14 | 013 | 010 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:52CBJJack JohnsonPPAssists: James Wisniewski, Marian Gaborik · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 16:18BOSChris KellyAssists: Jarome Iginla, David Krejci · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 0:49BOSLoui ErikssonGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Reilly Smith · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 19:27BOSMilan LucicENAssists: Zdeno Chara, Johnny Boychuk · Backhand, 0.60 xG3–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:02BOSJarome Iginla: Interference2 min
- P1 12:33BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:33CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:18BOSPatrice Bergeron: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 4:24CBJBoone Jenner: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 6:37BOSDennis Seidenberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:06BOSChris Kelly: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:35CBJJames Wisniewski: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:32CBJRyan Johansen: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Bergeron – Marchand8:34
xG 0.48–0.23 (68%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille5:56
xG 0.23–0.02 (90%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Bergeron – Smith4:11
xG 0.19–0.11 (62%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Kelly – Caron – Smith4:22
xG 0.07–0.03 (73%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Krug7:30
xG 0.35–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk7:37
xG 0.40–0.12 (77%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Boychuk3:36
xG 0.20–0.03 (86%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Foligno – Johansen9:10
xG 0.74–0.15 (83%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Umberger – Foligno2:03
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Boll2:19
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Dubinsky – Atkinson11:01
xG 0.10–0.42 (19%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Prout15:12
xG 0.91–0.45 (67%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Savard14:09
xG 0.30–0.52 (37%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Murray14:35
xG 0.28–0.56 (34%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).