Sun, Oct 13, 2013·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
New Jersey Devils 0, Winnipeg Jets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 011 | 05 | 024 |
| WPG | 08 | 112 | 215 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:57WPGEvander KaneGWGAssists: Mark Stuart, Bryan Little · Deflected, 0.03 xG0–1
- P3 19:03WPGEvander KaneENAssists: Olli Jokinen, Michael Frolik · Wrist, 0.63 xG0–2
- P3 19:23WPGAndrew LaddAssists: Michael Frolik, Jim Slater · Tip-in, 0.39 xG0–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:32WPGPaul Postma: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:51NJDStephen Gionta: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:54WPGOlli Jokinen: Holding2 min
- P1 19:54WPGOlli Jokinen: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:54NJDBryce Salvador: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:42WPGJames Wright: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:19NJDDainius Zubrus: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:29WPGZach Bogosian: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:42WPGOlli Jokinen: Delaying game2 min
- P3 11:22NJDDamien Brunner: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Jokinen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBernier – Olesz – Gionta4:22
xG 0.25–0.07 (79%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Ryder – Henrique – Loktionov5:47
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Clowe – Zajac – Brunner6:46
xG 0.13–0.10 (56%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Loktionov2:39
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalvador – Zidlicky13:34
xG 0.83–0.56 (59%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson13:21
xG 0.59–0.40 (60%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
- Volchenkov – Harrold8:43
xG 0.24–0.19 (56%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestSlater – Ladd – Frolik2:18
xG 0.76–0.03 (96%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Jokinen – Setoguchi – Tangradi6:59
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Ladd – Frolik – Scheifele6:01
xG 0.12–0.16 (44%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Little – Kane11:45
xG 0.62–0.68 (48%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien15:04
xG 0.80–0.41 (66%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Bogosian – Trouba16:23
xG 0.92–0.88 (51%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
- Stuart – Postma8:02
xG 0.10–0.25 (29%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).