Tue, Oct 22, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 06 | 111 | 08 | 125 |
| CBJ | 07 | 28 | 29 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:24NJDMichael RyderPPAssists: Jaromir Jagr, Rostislav Olesz · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 9:56CBJBrandon DubinskyPPAssists: R.J. Umberger, James Wisniewski · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 15:30CBJCam AtkinsonGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 4:12CBJJames WisniewskiUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P3 19:35CBJMarian GaborikENAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, James Wisniewski · Wrist, 0.55 xG1–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:19NJDTravis Zajac: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:17CBJBlake Comeau: Boarding2 min
- P2 4:43CBJMarian Gaborik: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:21NJDJaromir Jagr: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 17:02CBJBoone Jenner: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:57NJDDainius Zubrus: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 10:24CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00MacKenzie won the faceoff against Gionta
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestRyder – Zajac – Tedenby6:59
xG 0.44–0.15 (75%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Jagr – Olesz – Henrique8:21
xG 0.38–0.11 (78%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter7:21
xG 0.14–0.05 (75%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Zubrus – Ryder – Zajac3:24
xG 0.11–0.08 (57%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVolchenkov – Harrold9:46
xG 0.27–0.07 (79%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Fayne – Greene10:33
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Volchenkov – Zidlicky3:36
xG 0.16–0.11 (61%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMacKenzie – Boll – Letestu7:29
xG 0.24–0.03 (89%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Atkinson – Jenner9:22
xG 0.41–0.31 (57%)attempts 12–12goals 2–0
- Gaborik – Foligno – Anisimov8:41
xG 0.08–0.14 (37%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Umberger – Comeau – Johansen10:54
xG 0.26–0.34 (44%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Murray14:07
xG 0.63–0.50 (55%)attempts 12–20goals 1–0
- Johnson – Savard13:56
xG 0.35–0.24 (59%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Prout13:31
xG 0.21–0.30 (41%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).