Thu, Oct 24, 2013·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 3, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 13 | 17 | 07 | 04 | 1 | 321 |
| NJD | 25 | 07 | 017 | 01 | 0 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:05NJDPatrik EliasAssists: Andrei Loktionov, Jaromir Jagr · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:07VANRyan KeslerAssists: Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 9:41NJDEric GelinasPPAssists: Travis Zajac, Marek Zidlicky · Slap, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 12:37VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Mike Santorelli scored
- 2. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
- 3. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 4. NJD Adam Henrique stopped
- 5. VAN Alexander Edler stopped
- 6. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 8:21VANJeremy Welsh: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:44NJDMarek Zidlicky: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:56VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:42VANJason Garrison: Cross checking2 min
- OT 4:47NJDMarek Zidlicky: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gionta won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Kesler17:14
xG 0.49–0.31 (61%)attempts 9–8goals 2–0
- Richardson – Booth – Welsh3:01
xG 0.02–0.04 (34%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Higgins – Santorelli – Kassian13:43
xG 0.33–0.37 (47%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Richardson – Sestito – Welsh5:41
xG 0.02–0.16 (9%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Stanton14:18
xG 0.31–0.23 (57%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev11:41
xG 0.22–0.29 (43%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
- Edler – Garrison18:59
xG 0.28–0.90 (24%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Elias – Loktionov11:49
xG 0.49–0.09 (84%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Olesz – Zajac – Brunner6:54
xG 0.23–0.00 (98%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Zubrus – Ryder – Zajac3:31
xG 0.13–0.10 (57%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Zubrus – Ryder – Henrique8:07
xG 0.21–0.24 (46%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene18:15
xG 0.68–0.31 (69%)attempts 16–7goals 0–2
- Gelinas – Larsson11:30
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson2:15
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).