Sun, Oct 27, 2013·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Edmonton Oilers 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 05 | 17 | 06 | 00 | 1 | 118 |
| LAK | 010 | 112 | 023 | 03 | 2 | 248 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:12EDMNail YakupovPPAssists: Anton Belov, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 16:58LAKMike RichardsAssists: Jake Muzzin, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. LAK Mike Richards scored
- 2. EDM Jordan Eberle scored
- 3. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 4. EDM David Perron stopped
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 6. EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stopped
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:19EDMJustin Schultz: Holding2 min
- P1 10:15LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:15LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:49EDMDavid Perron: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:06EDMRyan Jones: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:06LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 2:09EDMLuke Gazdic: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:09LAKJordan Nolan: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:29LAKJake Muzzin: Interference2 min
- P2 5:08EDMNick Schultz: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:25EDMAnton Belov: Holding2 min
- P2 12:25LAKSlava Voynov: Tripping2 min
- OT 3:02EDMLuke Gazdic: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 4:24LAKJeff Carter: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Arcobello won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- Eager – Gazdic – Acton2:30
xG 0.01–0.12 (8%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Eberle – Nugent-Hopkins – Yakupov9:20
xG 0.29–0.46 (39%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Gordon – Jones – Lander5:50
xG 0.03–0.33 (7%)attempts 1–10goals 0–0
- Hemsky – Perron – Arcobello9:32
xG 0.11–0.44 (20%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Schultz – Belov13:59
xG 0.22–0.52 (30%)attempts 6–14goals 0–1
- Smid – Petry11:00
xG 0.10–0.45 (18%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
- Ference – Schultz12:42
xG 0.45–1.08 (29%)attempts 7–23goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Kopitar – King11:39
xG 1.18–0.24 (83%)attempts 20–5goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – Frattin10:24
xG 0.59–0.28 (68%)attempts 14–3goals 1–0
- Fraser – Clifford – Nolan2:13
xG 0.02–0.05 (28%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – Lewis8:56
xG 0.21–0.26 (45%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Voynov15:45
xG 0.95–0.44 (68%)attempts 23–10goals 0–0
- Regehr – Doughty15:25
xG 0.74–0.28 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Greene – Muzzin9:24
xG 0.60–0.19 (76%)attempts 17–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).