Thu, Oct 31, 2013·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 2, Boston Bruins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 15 | 110 | 08 | 00 | 0 | 223 |
| BOS | 01 | 17 | 111 | 04 | 1 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:52ANADevante Smith-PellyAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Dustin Penner · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 12:45BOSCarl SoderbergAssists: Chris Kelly, Ryan Spooner · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 19:39ANAMathieu PerreaultAssists: Devante Smith-Pelly, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 17:10BOSZdeno CharaPPAssists: David Krejci, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.29 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. BOS Ryan Spooner stopped
- 2. ANA Nick Bonino stopped
- 3. BOS Jarome Iginla scored
- 4. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 5. BOS Carl Soderberg stopped
- 6. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:13BOSBrad Marchand: Elbowing2 min
- P1 10:04ANAHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P1 19:28BOSBrad Marchand: Holding2 min
- P2 15:33BOSRyan Spooner: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:53BOSPatrice Bergeron: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:02ANAPatrick Maroon: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Bonino – Palmieri7:35
xG 0.33–0.17 (67%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Penner – Perreault – Smith-Pelly8:31
xG 0.33–0.25 (57%)attempts 5–5goals 2–0
- Winnik – Holland – Etem6:32
xG 0.19–0.19 (51%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Winnik – Cogliano – Bonino2:55
xG 0.04–0.08 (36%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAllen – Vatanen13:41
xG 0.63–0.47 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Allen – Beauchemin4:55
xG 0.02–0.07 (24%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Fowler15:55
xG 0.13–0.18 (42%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestIginla – Krejci – Lucic13:09
xG 0.46–0.07 (87%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille5:49
xG 0.23–0.17 (58%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith12:20
xG 0.03–0.19 (14%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Kelly – Soderberg – Spooner8:21
xG 0.27–0.49 (35%)attempts 8–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Hamilton12:30
xG 0.66–0.20 (77%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Chara – McQuaid5:34
xG 0.36–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Chara – Boychuk5:59
xG 0.23–0.04 (85%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).