Sat, Nov 2, 2013·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 3, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 17 | 17 | 09 | 07 | 2 | 330 |
| SJS | 016 | 215 | 019 | 00 | 1 | 250 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:36PHXAntoine VermetteAssists: Rob Klinkhammer, Mikkel Boedker · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 1:16SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Matt Nieto, Tommy Wingels · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 5:10SJSDan BoylePPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 8:57PHXMikkel BoedkerAssists: Derek Morris · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 3. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 5. SJS Jason Demers stopped
- 6. PHX Mike Ribeiro stopped
- 7. SJS Tomas Hertl stopped
- 8. PHX David Rundblad stopped
- 9. SJS Patrick Marleau stopped
- 10. PHX Antoine Vermette scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:50PHXMartin Hanzal: Elbowing2 min
- P1 11:35SJSTommy Wingels: Interference2 min
- P1 14:39PHXRadim Vrbata: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 3:49PHXKyle Chipchura: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:52SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:00SJSTyler Kennedy: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:15PHXJordan Szwarz: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 0:41PHXZbynek Michalek: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:15SJSTyler Kennedy: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Klinkhammer – Boedker7:42
xG 0.46–0.19 (71%)attempts 8–8goals 2–0
- Doan – Vrbata – Hanzal11:03
xG 0.11–0.41 (21%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Ribeiro – Moss – Korpikoski6:22
xG 0.07–0.43 (14%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Szwarz – Miele2:32
xG 0.02–0.39 (5%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Morris – Yandle12:09
xG 0.24–0.45 (35%)attempts 17–9goals 0–1
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson13:47
xG 0.39–0.72 (35%)attempts 8–19goals 1–0
- Stone – Rundblad8:19
xG 0.05–0.62 (7%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestDesjardins – Sheppard – McCarthy4:35
xG 0.30–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Marleau – Havlat – Couture8:37
xG 0.43–0.16 (73%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Thornton – Kennedy – Hertl9:25
xG 0.61–0.34 (64%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Pavelski – Wingels – Nieto7:24
xG 0.25–0.09 (73%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Stuart11:00
xG 0.68–0.16 (81%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Hannan – Demers9:13
xG 0.72–0.28 (72%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Hannan – Braun2:19
xG 0.05–0.13 (27%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).