Sun, Nov 3, 2013·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
New Jersey Devils 0, Minnesota Wild 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 010 | 05 | 04 | 019 |
| MIN | 18 | 19 | 23 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:20MINMikael GranlundGWGAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Jason Pominville · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 7:35MINTorrey MitchellAssists: Zach Parise, Ryan Suter · Deflected, 0.39 xG0–2
- P3 4:19MINDany HeatleyPPAssists: Keith Ballard, Nino Niederreiter · Tip-in, 0.22 xG0–3
- P3 17:35MINJason PominvilleENAssists: Nino Niederreiter · Wrist, 0.55 xG0–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:49MINTorrey Mitchell: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:09MINRyan Suter: Interference2 min
- P1 16:24NJDMattias Tedenby: Holding2 min
- P1 16:24MINJustin Fontaine: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:13MINKeith Ballard: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:46NJDMichael Ryder: Holding2 min
- P2 8:18NJDJaromir Jagr: Holding2 min
- P3 3:35NJDMarek Zidlicky: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZubrus – Ryder – Loktionov4:12
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Jagr – Zubrus – Loktionov4:55
xG 0.10–0.07 (60%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bernier – Tedenby – Josefson3:05
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Jagr – Henrique – Brunner2:56
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGelinas – Larsson8:35
xG 0.55–0.28 (66%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Greene5:47
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson8:00
xG 0.10–0.08 (57%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Parise – Mitchell7:11
xG 0.57–0.20 (74%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Pominville – Granlund – Niederreiter8:22
xG 0.52–0.22 (70%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
- Heatley – Konopka – McMillan5:34
xG 0.12–0.12 (51%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Cooke – Heatley – Brodziak3:57
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Brodin16:29
xG 0.59–0.31 (65%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Ballard – Stoner15:04
xG 0.48–0.29 (62%)attempts 8–17goals 1–0
- Scandella – Spurgeon11:26
xG 0.34–0.32 (51%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).