Tue, Nov 5, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 2, Phoenix Coyotes 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 215 | 010 | 02 | 1 | 233 |
| PHX | 17 | 111 | 013 | 01 | 2 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:15PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Martin Hanzal · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 0:25VANDan HamhuisAssists: Mike Santorelli · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 4:15VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 17:39PHXShane DoanAssists: Keith Yandle, David Moss · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 2. VAN Mike Santorelli stopped
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 4. VAN Alexandre Burrows scored
- 5. PHX Mike Ribeiro stopped
- 6. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
- 7. PHX Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
- 8. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 9. PHX Shane Doan stopped
- 10. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 11. PHX Antoine Vermette scored
- 12. VAN Henrik Sedin stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:21VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:25VANRyan Kesler: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:48PHXAntoine Vermette: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:31VANZack Kassian: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:03PHXJordan Szwarz: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 10:43PHXMartin Hanzal: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Santorelli11:11
xG 0.63–0.40 (61%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Richardson – Kassian – Archibald7:48
xG 0.07–0.08 (47%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Kesler14:29
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Sestito – Dalpe – Welsh3:41
xG 0.03–0.14 (18%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Garrison14:19
xG 0.68–0.35 (66%)attempts 20–13goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Stanton12:17
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Garrison – Stanton3:27
xG 0.04–0.01 (73%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Vrbata – Hanzal5:26
xG 0.38–0.12 (76%)attempts 9–7goals 1–1
- Doan – Ribeiro – Moss5:22
xG 0.23–0.03 (88%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Vermette – Klinkhammer – Boedker12:47
xG 0.21–0.13 (62%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Ribeiro – Moss – Korpikoski5:01
xG 0.04–0.02 (71%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Yandle7:55
xG 0.29–0.07 (80%)attempts 14–4goals 0–1
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson8:49
xG 0.26–0.06 (81%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Klesla – Yandle4:35
xG 0.16–0.04 (80%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).