Thu, Nov 14, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Phoenix Coyotes 4, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 213 | 211 | 06 | 00 | 1 | 430 |
| CHI | 29 | 123 | 117 | 03 | 2 | 552 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:37CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Patrick Kane, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:22CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 7:03PHXMichael StoneAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Rob Klinkhammer · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P1 14:04PHXShane DoanPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Mike Ribeiro · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 5:05CHIMarian HossaAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–3
- P2 14:55PHXLauri KorpikoskiAssists: Radim Vrbata, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.33 xG3–3
- P2 17:06PHXMichael StoneAssists: Shane Doan, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–3
- P3 3:00CHIBrandon PirriAssists: Brent Seabrook, Nick Leddy · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. PHX Antoine Vermette stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 5. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 6. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 7. CHI Brandon Pirri scored
- 8. PHX Mike Ribeiro stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:06PHXMichael Stone: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:50CHIMarian Hossa: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 14:14CHIBrandon Bollig: Holding2 min
- P1 14:14CHIBrandon Bollig: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 6:48PHXMartin Hanzal: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:56PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 4:39CHIAndrew Shaw: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 4:39PHXMike Smith: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pirri won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Korpikoski – Hanzal10:05
xG 0.86–0.22 (79%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Doan – Ribeiro – Moss10:34
xG 0.35–0.54 (39%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
- Halpern – Chipchura – Szwarz5:21
xG 0.04–0.44 (7%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Vermette – Klinkhammer – Boedker12:44
xG 0.45–1.15 (28%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko5:31
xG 0.72–0.42 (63%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson3:47
xG 0.27–0.04 (87%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Klesla – Ekman-Larsson4:27
xG 0.01–0.05 (18%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews13:13
xG 1.17–0.29 (80%)attempts 20–9goals 1–0
- Kane – Shaw – Saad2:17
xG 0.55–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Bickell – Morin – Shaw5:42
xG 0.54–0.02 (96%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Bickell – Kane – Shaw3:34
xG 0.19–0.04 (84%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook18:12
xG 1.47–0.32 (82%)attempts 25–13goals 1–0
- Brookbank – Leddy11:10
xG 1.11–0.48 (70%)attempts 15–14goals 1–2
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson16:01
xG 0.65–0.92 (41%)attempts 16–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).