Fri, Nov 15, 2013·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 2, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 06 | 29 | 221 |
| NJD | 012 | 06 | 08 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 13:08LAKDwight KingGWGAssists: Jake Muzzin, Justin Williams · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 19:57LAKAnze KopitarENAssists: Drew Doughty, Willie Mitchell · Backhand, 0.48 xG2–0
Penalties (5)
- P2 1:28NJDPeter Harrold: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 2:18LAKDwight King: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:21LAKJake Muzzin: Interference2 min
- P3 17:11LAKMike Richards: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 19:03NJDDamien Brunner: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Brown – Kopitar14:03
xG 0.37–0.17 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Richards – King – Frattin3:28
xG 0.11–0.02 (84%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Stoll – Lewis – Nolan6:02
xG 0.06–0.08 (42%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Frattin – Vey – Pearson3:46
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Martinez12:02
xG 0.31–0.19 (61%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty2:36
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty16:10
xG 0.62–0.74 (46%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBernier – Henrique – Loktionov10:35
xG 0.73–0.17 (81%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter3:50
xG 0.04–0.05 (45%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Elias – Ryder – Brunner10:20
xG 0.11–0.14 (44%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Janssen – Gionta – Carter2:56
xG 0.02–0.09 (21%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGelinas – Larsson12:27
xG 0.50–0.21 (70%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Greene17:44
xG 0.69–0.47 (60%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Harrold – Larsson2:24
xG 0.08–0.11 (43%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).