Fri, Nov 22, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Vancouver Canucks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 14 | 07 | 15 | 216 |
| VAN | 114 | 312 | 29 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:47CBJMatt CalvertAssists: Michael Chaput · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 19:44VANDaniel SedinAssists: Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 12:05VANZack KassianAssists: Brad Richardson, Ryan Stanton · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 13:59VANHenrik SedinGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin, Ryan Kesler · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–3
- P2 14:15VANAlexander EdlerAssists: Chris Higgins, Mike Santorelli · Slap, 0.02 xG1–4
- P3 9:05VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Ryan Stanton · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–5
- P3 16:58CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Nikita Nikitin, David Savard · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–5
- P3 19:31VANJeremy WelshAssists: Ryan Stanton, Dale Weise · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–6
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:39CBJBoone Jenner: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 6:29VANRyan Kesler: Holding2 min
- P1 11:28CBJDavid Savard: Boarding2 min
- P2 0:34CBJJack Johnson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 4:39VANDan Hamhuis: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:11CBJFedor Tyutin: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:50VANBrad Richardson: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:50VANDale Weise: Interference2 min
- P3 3:28VANTom Sestito: Charging2 min
- P3 12:49CBJNick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:49VANTom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:49CBJNick Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 12:49VANTom Sestito: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:33CBJFedor Tyutin: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Santorelli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Anisimov – Atkinson – Jenner4:19
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–1
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen5:50
xG 0.06–0.14 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Comeau – Anisimov – Jenner3:39
xG 0.18–0.27 (41%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Chaput2:45
xG 0.02–0.11 (12%)attempts 2–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestNikitin – Savard6:38
xG 0.51–0.23 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
- Erixon – Savard9:02
xG 0.45–0.23 (66%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Erixon3:59
xG 0.06–0.26 (18%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Kesler6:01
xG 1.13–0.13 (90%)attempts 15–1goals 2–0
- Sestito – Weise – Welsh4:25
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Santorelli5:48
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Richardson – Hansen – Kassian5:30
xG 0.23–0.13 (64%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Stanton10:36
xG 1.00–0.31 (76%)attempts 18–6goals 2–1
- Hamhuis – Tanev11:48
xG 0.50–0.01 (97%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Garrison – Stanton3:19
xG 0.17–0.10 (63%)attempts 2–4goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).