Wed, Nov 27, 2013·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Nashville Predators 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 114 | 211 | 14 | 429 |
| CBJ | 04 | 08 | 07 | 019 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:58NSHMatt CullenGWGAssists: Ryan Ellis, Nick Spaling · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 0:54NSHMike FisherPPAssists: Gabriel Bourque, Roman Josi · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 8:56NSHDavid LegwandAssists: Viktor Stalberg, Gabriel Bourque · Wrist, 0.36 xG3–0
- P3 2:02NSHNick SpalingAssists: Matt Cullen, Ryan Ellis · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:00CBJDavid Savard: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:29CBJCam Atkinson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:22NSHRich Clune: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:23CBJBlake Comeau: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:33NSHCraig Smith: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gaustad won the faceoff against Letestu
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestLegwand – Stalberg – Bourque9:18
xG 0.68–0.04 (94%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Cullen – Spaling – Smith9:01
xG 0.32–0.06 (84%)attempts 7–5goals 2–0
- Hendricks – Gaustad – Clune11:21
xG 0.15–0.01 (93%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Fisher – Nystrom – Wilson10:55
xG 0.12–0.17 (42%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlein – Ellis13:23
xG 0.70–0.11 (86%)attempts 11–6goals 3–0
- Bartley – Jones15:24
xG 0.39–0.09 (81%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Weber – Josi17:05
xG 0.38–0.32 (55%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestSkille – Anisimov – Calvert5:13
xG 0.20–0.01 (95%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Umberger – Atkinson – Chaput4:24
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Calvert – Atkinson5:08
xG 0.08–0.14 (36%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Foligno – Johansen – Jenner15:38
xG 0.11–0.18 (38%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Wisniewski – Murray17:36
xG 0.25–0.31 (45%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
- Prout – Savard16:37
xG 0.24–0.42 (36%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Johnson16:49
xG 0.27–0.79 (26%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).