Fri, Nov 29, 2013·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Dallas Stars 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 06 | 110 | 01 | 2 | 226 |
| DAL | 111 | 05 | 012 | 01 | 1 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:40DALRich PeverleyAssists: Shawn Horcoff · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P3 7:21CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Duncan Keith · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. DAL Jamie Benn stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. DAL Tyler Seguin stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 5. DAL Rich Peverley scored
- 6. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 7. DAL Alex Chiasson stopped
- 8. CHI Brandon Pirri stopped
- 9. DAL Shawn Horcoff stopped
- 10. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 11. DAL Ray Whitney stopped
- 12. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
- 13. DAL Cody Eakin stopped
- 14. CHI Kris Versteeg stopped
- 15. DAL Ryan Garbutt stopped
- 16. CHI Michal Handzus stopped
- 17. DAL Vernon Fiddler stopped
- 18. CHI Andrew Shaw stopped
- 19. DAL Jordie Benn stopped
- 20. CHI Marcus Kruger stopped
- 21. DAL Valeri Nichushkin stopped
- 22. CHI Ben Smith scored
Penalties (5)
- P2 2:39CHIBrent Seabrook: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 11:31DALRich Peverley: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:57CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:55CHIPatrick Sharp: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:55DALTrevor Daley: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Kruger – Bollig9:28
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews12:29
xG 0.60–0.54 (53%)attempts 14–13goals 0–1
- Versteeg – Pirri – Shaw8:07
xG 0.02–0.14 (13%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Handzus – Kane – Saad10:04
xG 0.17–0.35 (32%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Brookbank – Leddy12:35
xG 0.21–0.25 (46%)attempts 18–6goals 0–1
- Keith – Seabrook17:51
xG 0.78–0.85 (48%)attempts 17–20goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson19:38
xG 0.35–0.71 (33%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestBenn – Seguin – Nichushkin13:38
xG 0.96–0.30 (76%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Fiddler – Roussel – Garbutt10:42
xG 0.47–0.22 (68%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Whitney – Chiasson – Eakin10:57
xG 0.31–0.30 (51%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Cole – Horcoff – Peverley10:32
xG 0.14–0.21 (41%)attempts 3–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGonchar – Dillon5:35
xG 0.51–0.28 (64%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Benn – Dillon3:49
xG 0.22–0.03 (87%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Robidas – Dillon11:12
xG 0.31–0.12 (72%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).