Sat, Nov 30, 2013·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 02 | 07 | 15 | 114 |
| BOS | 29 | 016 | 111 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:02BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 14:58BOSMilan LucicPPGWGAssists: Torey Krug, David Krejci · Tip-in, 0.20 xG0–2
- P3 2:15BOSMilan LucicAssists: David Krejci, Jarome Iginla · Slap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P3 6:16CBJRyan JohansenPPAssists: R.J. Umberger, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 14:36CBJRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:32BOSBrad Marchand: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 0:32CBJMatt Calvert: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 2:49CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:34BOSMilan Lucic: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:34CBJDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:49BOSJohnny Boychuk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 15:17CBJMark Letestu: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:24CBJNick Foligno: Misconduct10 min
- P2 18:24CBJNick Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 4:59BOSDougie Hamilton: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:55CBJMark Letestu: Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
- P3 16:54CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Skille – Tropp – Chaput3:04
xG 0.00–0.02 (15%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Johansen – Jenner2:26
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Calvert – Atkinson6:15
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Skille – Anisimov – Calvert2:05
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tyutin – Johnson14:42
xG 0.39–0.37 (51%)attempts 10–14goals 0–2
- Nikitin – Prout11:34
xG 0.06–0.16 (26%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Murray2:09
xG 0.01–0.22 (4%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKelly – Soderberg – Smith8:08
xG 0.25–0.03 (90%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Bergeron – Marchand8:49
xG 0.23–0.03 (90%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille9:27
xG 0.21–0.15 (57%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic9:02
xG 0.20–0.28 (42%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Boychuk9:35
xG 0.27–0.03 (89%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Chara – Hamilton2:26
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Hamilton12:04
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 9–4goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).