Tue, Dec 3, 2013·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 3, Anaheim Ducks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 016 | 120 | 110 | 05 | 1 | 351 |
| ANA | 06 | 111 | 110 | 01 | 0 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:05LAKJeff CarterUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 7:51ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Corey Perry · Tip-in, 0.28 xG1–1
- P3 2:14ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Dustin Penner, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–2
- P3 5:43LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jarret Stoll · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 3. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 4. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 5. LAK Mike Richards stopped
- 6. ANA Nick Bonino stopped
- 7. LAK Justin Williams stopped
- 8. ANA Saku Koivu stopped
- 9. LAK Drew Doughty stopped
- 10. ANA Teemu Selanne stopped
- 11. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 12. ANA Dustin Penner stopped
- 13. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 14. ANA Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 15. LAK Matt Frattin stopped
- 16. ANA Matt Beleskey stopped
- 17. LAK Dwight King scored
- 18. ANA Mathieu Perreault stopped
Penalties (13)
- P1 10:58LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:21ANASaku Koivu: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:33ANAMatt Beleskey: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:21ANADustin Penner: Holding2 min
- P2 14:10ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:10LAKSlava Voynov: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:54LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:25ANAMark Fistric: Cross checking2 min
- P3 1:44LAKSlava Voynov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:10LAKKyle Clifford: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:31LAKJustin Williams: Slashing2 min
- OT 0:27LAKWillie Mitchell: Slashing2 min
- OT 1:24ANADustin Penner: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Kopitar – King10:24
xG 1.14–0.14 (89%)attempts 18–3goals 1–0
- Richards – Nolan – Toffoli5:14
xG 0.44–0.17 (72%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Fraser – Frattin – Clifford5:22
xG 0.07–0.09 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar2:59
xG 0.03–0.07 (28%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty15:51
xG 1.44–0.41 (78%)attempts 29–9goals 1–0
- Regehr – Voynov11:23
xG 0.77–0.17 (82%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov4:25
xG 0.11–0.08 (59%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestJackman – Beleskey – Bonino7:15
xG 0.26–0.04 (87%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Penner12:09
xG 0.81–0.84 (49%)attempts 11–18goals 1–1
- Selanne – Perreault – Palmieri6:43
xG 0.00–0.48 (0%)attempts 1–10goals 0–0
- Koivu – Winnik – Cogliano10:56
xG 0.23–0.74 (24%)attempts 5–21goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Allen – Vatanen12:13
xG 0.34–0.29 (54%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Fowler15:01
xG 0.34–1.03 (25%)attempts 10–23goals 0–1
- Fistric – Lindholm13:24
xG 0.57–1.49 (28%)attempts 7–25goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).