Wed, Dec 4, 2013·Prudential Center, Newark
Montréal Canadiens 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 113 | 07 | 29 | 01 | 2 | 430 |
| NJD | 09 | 010 | 312 | 03 | 1 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:36MTLBrian GiontaAssists: Daniel Brière, Tomas Plekanec · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P3 4:19NJDAndrei LoktionovAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Michael Ryder · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 9:50NJDMichael RyderAssists: Reid Boucher, Andrei Loktionov · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 16:10MTLLars EllerAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Raphael Diaz · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 18:54NJDPatrik EliasUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 19:23MTLDavid DesharnaisAssists: Brian Gionta · Tip-in, 0.17 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Reid Boucher scored
- 2. MTL Lars Eller scored
- 3. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
- 4. MTL David Desharnais scored
- 5. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:35NJDCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:35MTLBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:46NJDDainius Zubrus: Holding2 min
- P2 12:11MTLMax Pacioretty: Interference2 min
- P3 6:07NJDJaromir Jagr: Holding2 min
- P3 11:29MTLBrendan Gallagher: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:52NJDDamien Brunner: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Plekanec won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestMoen – White – Bournival7:36
xG 0.64–0.17 (79%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Brière – Gionta – Plekanec9:44
xG 0.48–0.23 (67%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Gionta – Moen – Plekanec2:28
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Pacioretty – Gallagher12:44
xG 0.42–0.63 (40%)attempts 11–22goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBouillon – Diaz11:01
xG 0.90–0.31 (74%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Gorges – Emelin15:19
xG 0.41–0.61 (40%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
- Markov – Subban18:54
xG 0.45–0.67 (40%)attempts 10–15goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestRyder – Loktionov – Boucher2:29
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 2–0
- Elias – Bernier – Henrique3:06
xG 0.13–0.03 (84%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Elias – Bernier – Boucher6:04
xG 0.20–0.13 (61%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Jagr – Zubrus – Zajac13:09
xG 0.51–0.60 (46%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene13:44
xG 1.04–0.16 (87%)attempts 21–5goals 2–0
- Volchenkov – Merrill4:30
xG 0.05–0.09 (38%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Gelinas6:21
xG 0.06–0.10 (38%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).