Thu, Dec 5, 2013·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 1, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 110 | 07 | 016 | 133 |
| MTL | 03 | 218 | 06 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:35BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Milan Lucic, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 9:16MTLTomas PlekanecAssists: Josh Gorges, Brian Gionta · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 17:42MTLMax PaciorettyGWGAssists: Raphael Diaz, Brendan Gallagher · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:28MTLMax Pacioretty: Boarding2 min
- P1 6:45BOSMatt Bartkowski: Interference2 min
- P1 10:25MTLDavid Desharnais: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:43BOSCarl Soderberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:26BOSDougie Hamilton: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:18MTLBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:18BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:23BOSChris Kelly: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Plekanec
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestIginla – Krejci – Lucic14:01
xG 0.73–0.31 (70%)attempts 20–12goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille5:54
xG 0.33–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Bergeron – Marchand12:10
xG 0.31–0.03 (91%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Kelly – Soderberg – Smith8:33
xG 0.14–0.42 (25%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Krug10:47
xG 0.50–0.25 (67%)attempts 21–9goals 0–1
- Seidenberg – Krug2:02
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
- Bartkowski – Krug2:41
xG 0.12–0.03 (83%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Moen – Prust – Eller3:55
xG 0.01–0.08 (10%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Parros – Moen – Prust4:47
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Pacioretty – Gallagher13:04
xG 0.41–0.53 (44%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Brière – Eller – Galchenyuk6:22
xG 0.42–0.57 (42%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Diaz10:21
xG 0.58–0.26 (69%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Gorges – Emelin14:31
xG 0.20–0.58 (26%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Markov – Subban17:04
xG 0.31–0.73 (30%)attempts 13–24goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).