Sun, Dec 8, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Florida Panthers 2, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 07 | 210 | 018 | 235 |
| CHI | 210 | 211 | 211 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:10CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 9:11CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Brandon Saad, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 0:37CHIMarian HossaGWGAssists: Patrick Sharp, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–3
- P2 4:05FLADylan OlsenAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Tomas Fleischmann · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P2 9:37FLAMarcel GocUnassisted · Slap, 0.11 xG2–3
- P2 17:26CHIMichal HandzusAssists: Brent Seabrook, Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.23 xG2–4
- P3 2:44CHIAndrew ShawPPAssists: Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–5
- P3 19:04CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Jeremy Morin, Kris Versteeg · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–6
Penalties (13)
- P1 0:57FLATomas Kopecky: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 7:21FLASean Bergenheim: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P1 7:21FLASean Bergenheim: Interference2 min
- P1 14:23CHIPatrick Sharp: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:17CHIMarcus Kruger: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:13CHIBrandon Bollig: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:13FLAKrys Barch: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:39CHIMichal Rozsival: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:06FLAKrys Barch: Illegal check to head2 min · PPG
- P3 5:10CHIAndrew Shaw: Interference2 min
- P3 10:53CHIBrandon Bollig: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:53FLAKrys Barch: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:27CHIBrent Seabrook: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestBergenheim – Hayes – Barkov8:44
xG 0.97–0.60 (62%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Kopecky – Goc – Fleischmann9:28
xG 0.40–0.31 (57%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Upshall – Bjugstad – Huberdeau11:41
xG 0.20–0.41 (33%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Barch – Matthias – Winchester3:04
xG 0.04–0.28 (13%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Kulikov3:01
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Campbell – Gilbert13:09
xG 0.44–0.43 (50%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Campbell – Weaver2:31
xG 0.01–0.05 (18%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestMorin – Shaw – Saad4:57
xG 0.45–0.05 (90%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig8:34
xG 0.19–0.17 (53%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Handzus – Versteeg – Kane9:18
xG 0.34–0.50 (41%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews9:34
xG 0.44–0.69 (39%)attempts 10–10goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook11:02
xG 1.25–0.55 (69%)attempts 17–10goals 2–1
- Rozsival – Leddy15:29
xG 0.84–0.77 (52%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson13:01
xG 0.12–0.45 (21%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).